考虑过街行人影响的右转车辆间隙接受模型
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摘要
通过实地调研数据,对车辆右转的临界间隙进行了计算,发现右转车辆的临界间隙服从威布尔分布。用二项logistic回归模型建立间隙接受模型,结果表明,间隙值较大、行人流量较低时,司机对间隙接受的可能性较大,对单人过街的间隙接受的可能性更大,对较短的时间间隔比较谨慎,更倾向于接受较短的时间滞后。本研究既为对交叉口进行安全评估打下基础,也可用于对交叉口通行延误及通行能力进行分析。
Through field investigation data,the critical gap of vehicles to pedestrians was calculated in this paper,finding that the cumulative Weibull distribution could be used to fit the critical gap of right-turning vehicles. The binary logistic regression model was used to establish gap acceptance model. The results show that when the gap is larger,and the pedestrian flow is lower,drivers are more likely to accept the gap,and they tend to accept the gap easily when the crossing pedestrian is alone. Drivers are more cautious about short time intervals and tend to accept shorter time lags. The study on the gap acceptance behavior of right-turn drivers to pedestrians crossing the street can not only lay the foundation for the safety assessment of the intersection,but also can be used to analyze the delay and traffic capacity of the intersections.
Through field investigation data,the critical gap of vehicles to pedestrians was calculated in this paper,finding that the cumulative Weibull distribution could be used to fit the critical gap of right-turning vehicles. The binary logistic regression model was used to establish gap acceptance model. The results show that when the gap is larger,and the pedestrian flow is lower,drivers are more likely to accept the gap,and they tend to accept the gap easily when the crossing pedestrian is alone. Drivers are more cautious about short time intervals and tend to accept shorter time lags. The study on the gap acceptance behavior of right-turn drivers to pedestrians crossing the street can not only lay the foundation for the safety assessment of the intersection,but also can be used to analyze the delay and traffic capacity of the intersections.
引文
[1]张晓玮.信号控制交叉口行人与右转车辆的冲突研究[D].成都:西南交通大学,2016.
[2]全国人民代表大会.中华人民共和国道路交通安全法[EB/OL].[2018-03-02]. http://www. npc. gov. cn/npc/zfjc/zfjcelys/2016-12/13/content_2003512. htm.
[3]陆斯文,方守恩.行人穿越机动车流的平均临界间隙分析方法[J].交通标准化,2008(1):145-148.
[4]ASHWORTH R,BOTTOM C G. Some observations of driver gap-acceptance behaviour at a priority intersection[J]. Traffic Engineering&Control,1977,18(12):569-571.
[5]TROUTBECK R. Estimating the critical assessment gap from traffic movements[EB/OL].[2018-04-20]. http://worldcat. org/oclc/27625134.
[6]BRILON W,KOENIG R,TROUTBECK R J. Useful estimation procedures for critical gaps[J]. Transportation Research Part A Policy&Practice,1999,33(3/4):161-186.
[7]ASHALATHA R,CHANDRA S. Critical gap through clearing behavior of drivers at unsignalised intersections[J]. Ksce Journal of Civil Engineering,2011,15(8):1427-1434.
[8]ONELCIN P,ALVER Y. Illegal crossing behavior of pedestrians at signalized intersections:Factors affecting the gap acceptance[J]. Transportation Research Part F Traffic Psychology&Behaviour,2015,31:124-132.
[9]PAWAR D S,PATIL G R. Pedestrian temporal and spatial gap acceptance at mid-block street crossing in developing world[J].Journal of Safety Research,2015,52:39-46.
[10]潘丽,杨小宝,刘艳婷,等.信号交叉口违规者间隙接受行为研究[J].综合运输,2016(8):52-56.
[11]MAURYA A K,AMIN H J,KUMAR A. Estimation of critical gap for through movement at four leg uncontrolled intersection[J]. Transportation Research Procedia,2016,17:203-212.
[12]ASANO M,ALHAJYASEEN W K M,SUZUKI K,et al. Modeling the variation in the trajectory of left turning vehicles considering intersection geometry[EB/OL].[2018-03-02]. https://trid. trb. org/view. aspx? id=1092920.
[13]SCHROEDER B J,ROUPHAIL N M. Event-based modeling of driver yielding behavior at unsignalized crosswalks[J]. Journal of Transportation Engineering,2011,137(7):455-465.
[14]李珊珊.平交路口机动车自行车行人及其相互干扰微观行为模型研究[D].北京:北京交通大学,2013.
[15]ALHAJYASEEN W K M,ASANO M,NAKAMURA H. Left-turn gap acceptance models considering pedestrian movement characteristics[J]. Accident Analysis&Prevention,2013,50:175-185.
[16]WU N. Estimating distribution function of critical gaps at unsignalized intersections based on equilibrium of probabilities[J].Transportation Research Record:Journal of the Transportation Research Board,2012,2286(1):49-55. https://doi. org/10. 3141/2286-06.
[17]ALHAJYASEEN W K M,ASANO M,NAKAMURA H. Estimation of left-turning vehicle maneuvers for the assessment of pedestrian safety at intersections[J]. Iatss Research,2012,36(1):66-74.
[18]薛薇. SPSS统计分析方法及应用[M].北京:电子工业出版社,2013.
[2]全国人民代表大会.中华人民共和国道路交通安全法[EB/OL].[2018-03-02]. http://www. npc. gov. cn/npc/zfjc/zfjcelys/2016-12/13/content_2003512. htm.
[3]陆斯文,方守恩.行人穿越机动车流的平均临界间隙分析方法[J].交通标准化,2008(1):145-148.
[4]ASHWORTH R,BOTTOM C G. Some observations of driver gap-acceptance behaviour at a priority intersection[J]. Traffic Engineering&Control,1977,18(12):569-571.
[5]TROUTBECK R. Estimating the critical assessment gap from traffic movements[EB/OL].[2018-04-20]. http://worldcat. org/oclc/27625134.
[6]BRILON W,KOENIG R,TROUTBECK R J. Useful estimation procedures for critical gaps[J]. Transportation Research Part A Policy&Practice,1999,33(3/4):161-186.
[7]ASHALATHA R,CHANDRA S. Critical gap through clearing behavior of drivers at unsignalised intersections[J]. Ksce Journal of Civil Engineering,2011,15(8):1427-1434.
[8]ONELCIN P,ALVER Y. Illegal crossing behavior of pedestrians at signalized intersections:Factors affecting the gap acceptance[J]. Transportation Research Part F Traffic Psychology&Behaviour,2015,31:124-132.
[9]PAWAR D S,PATIL G R. Pedestrian temporal and spatial gap acceptance at mid-block street crossing in developing world[J].Journal of Safety Research,2015,52:39-46.
[10]潘丽,杨小宝,刘艳婷,等.信号交叉口违规者间隙接受行为研究[J].综合运输,2016(8):52-56.
[11]MAURYA A K,AMIN H J,KUMAR A. Estimation of critical gap for through movement at four leg uncontrolled intersection[J]. Transportation Research Procedia,2016,17:203-212.
[12]ASANO M,ALHAJYASEEN W K M,SUZUKI K,et al. Modeling the variation in the trajectory of left turning vehicles considering intersection geometry[EB/OL].[2018-03-02]. https://trid. trb. org/view. aspx? id=1092920.
[13]SCHROEDER B J,ROUPHAIL N M. Event-based modeling of driver yielding behavior at unsignalized crosswalks[J]. Journal of Transportation Engineering,2011,137(7):455-465.
[14]李珊珊.平交路口机动车自行车行人及其相互干扰微观行为模型研究[D].北京:北京交通大学,2013.
[15]ALHAJYASEEN W K M,ASANO M,NAKAMURA H. Left-turn gap acceptance models considering pedestrian movement characteristics[J]. Accident Analysis&Prevention,2013,50:175-185.
[16]WU N. Estimating distribution function of critical gaps at unsignalized intersections based on equilibrium of probabilities[J].Transportation Research Record:Journal of the Transportation Research Board,2012,2286(1):49-55. https://doi. org/10. 3141/2286-06.
[17]ALHAJYASEEN W K M,ASANO M,NAKAMURA H. Estimation of left-turning vehicle maneuvers for the assessment of pedestrian safety at intersections[J]. Iatss Research,2012,36(1):66-74.
[18]薛薇. SPSS统计分析方法及应用[M].北京:电子工业出版社,2013.