基于供应链和可拓物元模型的乳制品企业食品质量安全风险预警研究
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摘要
为提高乳制品企业食品质量安全预警能力,改善乳制品企业食品质量安全状况,从乳制品企业的供应链管理各环节分析了影响乳制品企业食品质量安全的主要因素,提出一种基于供应链和可拓方法的乳制品企业食品质量安全风险预警模型。首先从供应链的角度建立乳制品企业食品质量安全风险评价指标体系,利用熵权法计算各评价指标的权重系数;然后运用可拓学理论建立乳制品企业食品质量安全预警模型;最后结合武汉市8家乳制品生产企业2016年的食品质量安全评价指标数据,利用建立的乳制品企业食品质量安全预警模型定量评价了各企业的食品质量安全预警状态,并根据评价结果进行安全预警分析,验证模型的合理性和适用性。结果表明:4家乳制品生产企业食品质量安全处于无警状态,3家企业处于轻警状态,1家企业处于中警状态,食品质量安全总体状况良好,但大部分企业仍需改进。该模型的评价结果与实际调查和定性分析的结果基本一致,可为乳制品企业食品质量安全预警工作提供参考。
In order to improve the early safety warning ability of the food quality and safety of dairy enterprises and safety situation of dairy enterprises,this paper analyzes the main factors influencing the food quality and safety of dairy enterprises from the supply chain,and proposes an early risk warning model of the food quality and safety of based on the supply chain and the extension method.Then,the paper establishes the early warning index system from the angle of supply,calculates the weight coefficient of each evaluation index by using the entropy weight method and establishes the earlysafety warning model by the extension theory.At last,based on the food safety data of eight dairy enterprises in Wuhan City in 2016,the paper uses the model to quantitatively evaluates the food safety warning status ofand conducts safety warning analysis according to the model evaluation results to verify the rationality and applicability of the model.The results show that four enterprises are in a state of no police,three enterprises are in a state of light police,one enterprise is in the state of the police,and the overall situation is good,but most enterprises still need to be improved.The evaluation results are basically consistent with the results of actual investigation and qualitative analysis,which can provide reference for the early safety warning work of dairy product enterprises.
In order to improve the early safety warning ability of the food quality and safety of dairy enterprises and safety situation of dairy enterprises,this paper analyzes the main factors influencing the food quality and safety of dairy enterprises from the supply chain,and proposes an early risk warning model of the food quality and safety of based on the supply chain and the extension method.Then,the paper establishes the early warning index system from the angle of supply,calculates the weight coefficient of each evaluation index by using the entropy weight method and establishes the earlysafety warning model by the extension theory.At last,based on the food safety data of eight dairy enterprises in Wuhan City in 2016,the paper uses the model to quantitatively evaluates the food safety warning status ofand conducts safety warning analysis according to the model evaluation results to verify the rationality and applicability of the model.The results show that four enterprises are in a state of no police,three enterprises are in a state of light police,one enterprise is in the state of the police,and the overall situation is good,but most enterprises still need to be improved.The evaluation results are basically consistent with the results of actual investigation and qualitative analysis,which can provide reference for the early safety warning work of dairy product enterprises.
引文
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[15]曹秋勤.基于支持向量机的蔬菜质量安全预测及溯源模型的研究与应用[D].广州:华南理工大学,2014.
[16]时惠黎,马淑芝,贾洪彪.基于可拓综合评价模型的隧道塌方概率计算方法[J].安全与环境工程,2015,22(2):154-158.
[2] 刘成果.中国奶业年鉴(2016)[M].北京:中国农业出版社,2016.
[3] 李佳洁,徐然,李江华.基于模糊层次分析法的食品冷链物流发展影响因素分析——以北京市为例[J].农产品质量与安全,2015(1):35-40.
[4] 安珺.基于层次分析法的乳品质量安全预警系统研究[D].哈尔滨:东北农业大学,2012.
[5] 刘於勋.食品安全综合评价指标体系的层次与灰色分析[J].河南工业大学学报(自然科学版),2007(5):53-57.
[6] 陈秋玲,马晓姗,张青.基于突变模型的我国食品安全风险评估[J].中国安全科学学报,2011,21(2):152-158.
[7] 钟来元,刘黎明,王兴,等.区域综合食物安全风险预警指标体系[J].农业工程学报,2010,26(3):374-379.
[8] 唐晓纯.多视角下的食品安全预警体系[J].中国软科学,2008(6):150-160.
[9] Liu Z,Meng L Y,Zhao W,et al.Application of ANN in food safety early warning[C]//International Conference on Future Computer and Communication.[S.l.]:IEEE,2014,3:677-680.
[10]李彬,李忠海.地市级政府食品安全预警系统构建[J].食品与机械,2012,28(3):104-107.
[11]Deng Y.Fuzzy evidential warning of grain security[C]//Proceedings of 2010 IEEE International Conference on Advanced Management Science.[S.l.:S.n.],2014,3.
[12]Zhu C X,Wang F.Study on risk pre-warning model of China food based on SVM classification[C]//International Conference on E-Product E-Service and E-Entertainment.[S.l.]:IEEE,2010:1-3.
[13]赵静娴.基于决策树的食品安全评估研究[J].安徽农业科学,2011,39(32):20259,20302.
[14]张守文.发达国家食品安全监管体制的主要模式及对我国的启示[J].中国食品学报,2008,8(6):1-4.
[15]曹秋勤.基于支持向量机的蔬菜质量安全预测及溯源模型的研究与应用[D].广州:华南理工大学,2014.
[16]时惠黎,马淑芝,贾洪彪.基于可拓综合评价模型的隧道塌方概率计算方法[J].安全与环境工程,2015,22(2):154-158.
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