丝绸之路经济带核心区物流业规模效率分析
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摘要
一带一路,物流先行。丝绸之路经济带核心区的物流业规模效率研究对共建丝绸之路经济带具有重要的意义。采用DEA模型对核心区物流业规模效率进行测度和时空维度分析;采用面板随机效应Tobit模型对其影响因素进行实证分析。结果表明:从规模效率视角看,核心区物流业发展不充分,不平衡;从时间维度看,核心区整体、中亚五国和西北五省区的物流业规模效率分别呈上升波浪形、"W"形、"V"形和"W"形演进;从空间维度看,核心区物流业规模效率存在σ收敛;物流业集聚水平、经济发展水平和基础设施水平对核心区物流业规模效率有显著影响。基于此,提出了促进物流业"五化"的建议。
The DEA model is used to measure the scale efficiency of the logistics industry and analyze from the time and space in care area.The panel random effect Tobit model is used to empirically analyze the influencing factor.Our study finds that:From the perspective of scale efficiency,the development of the logistics industry in core area is insufficient and unbalanced;From the time dimension,logistics industry scale efficiency in core area,the five central asian countries and the five northwestern provinces evolved with rising wavy, " W", " V" and " W" shape.From the perspective of space,logistics industry scale efficiency in silk road economic belt core area existsσconvergence;Logistics industry agglomeration level,economic development level,and infrastructure level are significant factors in core area.According to this,the paper puts forward the suggestions of"Five Transformations"to promote the development of logistics industry.
The DEA model is used to measure the scale efficiency of the logistics industry and analyze from the time and space in care area.The panel random effect Tobit model is used to empirically analyze the influencing factor.Our study finds that:From the perspective of scale efficiency,the development of the logistics industry in core area is insufficient and unbalanced;From the time dimension,logistics industry scale efficiency in core area,the five central asian countries and the five northwestern provinces evolved with rising wavy, " W", " V" and " W" shape.From the perspective of space,logistics industry scale efficiency in silk road economic belt core area existsσconvergence;Logistics industry agglomeration level,economic development level,and infrastructure level are significant factors in core area.According to this,the paper puts forward the suggestions of"Five Transformations"to promote the development of logistics industry.
引文
[1]王琴梅,张玉.丝绸之路经济带“核心区”物流业效率整体评价及分省区、分国别比较[J].陕西师范大学学报:哲学社会科学版,2017(5):5-15.
[2]王琴梅,谭翠娥.对西安市物流业效率及其影响因素的实证研究[J].软科学,2013(5):70-74.
[3]龚新蜀,张洪振.物流产业集聚的经济溢出效应及空间分异研究——基于丝绸之路经济带辐射省份面板数据[J].工业技术经济,2017(3):13-19.
[4]樊敏.中国八大经济区域物流产业运作效率分析——基于三阶段DEA模型[J].现代管理科学,2010(2):48-50.
[5]倪明,何超,杨善林.区域物流效率评价及其影响因素实证研究[J].华东交通大学学报,2015(4):65-72.
[6]刘秉镰,余泳泽.我国物流业地区间效率差异及其影响因素实证研究——基于数据包络分析模型及托宾模型的分析[J].中国流通经济,2010(9):18-21.
[7]张毅,牛冲槐,庞继芳.我国物流上市企业规模效率及影响因素研究[J].数理统计与管理,2013(3):511-520.
[8]田刚,李南.中国物流业技术效率差异及其影响因素研究——基于省级面板数据的实证分析[J].科研管理,2011(7):34-44.
[2]王琴梅,谭翠娥.对西安市物流业效率及其影响因素的实证研究[J].软科学,2013(5):70-74.
[3]龚新蜀,张洪振.物流产业集聚的经济溢出效应及空间分异研究——基于丝绸之路经济带辐射省份面板数据[J].工业技术经济,2017(3):13-19.
[4]樊敏.中国八大经济区域物流产业运作效率分析——基于三阶段DEA模型[J].现代管理科学,2010(2):48-50.
[5]倪明,何超,杨善林.区域物流效率评价及其影响因素实证研究[J].华东交通大学学报,2015(4):65-72.
[6]刘秉镰,余泳泽.我国物流业地区间效率差异及其影响因素实证研究——基于数据包络分析模型及托宾模型的分析[J].中国流通经济,2010(9):18-21.
[7]张毅,牛冲槐,庞继芳.我国物流上市企业规模效率及影响因素研究[J].数理统计与管理,2013(3):511-520.
[8]田刚,李南.中国物流业技术效率差异及其影响因素研究——基于省级面板数据的实证分析[J].科研管理,2011(7):34-44.