科技创新促进节能减排了吗?——基于高耗能产业群的实证研究
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摘要
节能减排是高耗能产业群循环经济发展的控制性目标,新时期要靠科技创新来完成。节能减排与科技创新的协同效应可以衡量科技创新对节能减排进程的贡献程度。文章构建了科技创新—节能减排协同效应评价指标体系,比较分析了2006—2015年("十一五"和"十二五"时期)六个主要的耗能行业及所集成的产业群,通过科技创新促进节能减排的协同效应变化。得到的主要结论是,从整个研究期间来看,高耗能产业群科技创新与节能减排协同效应呈现逐渐提高的趋势,但个别年度有一定的波动,即科技创新对节能减排的促进作用逐渐增强。继而,运用系统动力学方法预测了"十三五"期间高耗能产业群协同效应的发展趋势,就存在的短板提出了对策建议。
The energy saving & emission reduction(ESER) is the control objectives for energy-intensive industries' economic development, which have to be completed by technological innovation. The synergistic effect of ESER and technological innovation may measure the contribution of technological innovation on ESER. This paper constructed an index system to evaluate the synergistic effect, and carried an empirical and comparative analysis on the development of synergistic effect of six energy-intensive industries and the industrial cluster in 2006-2015(the "11th Five-Year" and "12th Five-Year" periods). The results are: the synergistic effect of ESER and technological innovation was improving while there was some fluctuations in individual years, which means that technological innovation were promoting ESER. Then, the development trend in the "13th Five-Year" was forecast by system dynamics method. Some suggestions were put forward based on the existed problems in energy-intensive industries.
The energy saving & emission reduction(ESER) is the control objectives for energy-intensive industries' economic development, which have to be completed by technological innovation. The synergistic effect of ESER and technological innovation may measure the contribution of technological innovation on ESER. This paper constructed an index system to evaluate the synergistic effect, and carried an empirical and comparative analysis on the development of synergistic effect of six energy-intensive industries and the industrial cluster in 2006-2015(the "11th Five-Year" and "12th Five-Year" periods). The results are: the synergistic effect of ESER and technological innovation was improving while there was some fluctuations in individual years, which means that technological innovation were promoting ESER. Then, the development trend in the "13th Five-Year" was forecast by system dynamics method. Some suggestions were put forward based on the existed problems in energy-intensive industries.
引文
[1]何小钢,张耀辉.技术进步、节能减排与发展方式转型--基于中国工业36个行业的实证考察[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2012(3):19-33.
[2]冯烽.内生视角下能源价格、技术进步对能源效率的变动效应研究--基于PVAR模型[J].管理评论,2015(4):38-47.
[3]陈莉.节能减排政策与合肥科技创新环境分析[J].技术经济与管理研究,2010(6):44-48.
[4]王丽民,宋炳宏,么海亮.技术创新对河北省节能减排作用的实证研究[J].河北大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2011(4):49-54.
[5]宋小波,张金贵.科技创新推进节能减排科学发展打造绿色企业--郑州龙祥铝业大力推进科技创新结硕果[J].决策探索,2010(9):88-89.
[6]韩一杰,刘秀丽.基于超效率DEA模型的中国各地区钢铁行业能源效率及节能减排潜力分析[J].系统科学与数学,2011(3):287-298.
[7]何兰艳.煤矿企业节能减排研究分析[J].科技创新导报,2014(8):15.
[8]曾萍,邓腾智,吴小节.节能减排与技术创新:来自广东珠三角地区企业的经验证据[J].经济体制改革,2013(1):107-111.
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[10]张庆芝,何枫,雷家骕.技术效率视角下我国钢铁企业节能减排与企业规模研究[J].软科学,2013(8):6-10.
[11]白云朴,李辉.资源型产业结构优化升级影响因素及其实现路径[J].科技管理研究,2015(12):116-122.
[12]郑季良,周旋.高耗能企业科技创新与节能减排协调发展评价实证研究--基于宝钢2005-2014年可持续发展报告[J].科技与经济,2016(3):19-23.
[13]郑季良,周旋.高耗能企业科技创新与节能减排协调度演进和比较研究[J].科技管理研究,2017(5):216-221.
[14]郑季良,陈卫萍.论高耗能产业群的循环经济协同发展[J].科技进步与对策,2010(2):53-56.
[15]郑季良,王希希.高耗能产业节能减排协同效应比较研究[J].科技与经济,2018(1):101-105.
[2]冯烽.内生视角下能源价格、技术进步对能源效率的变动效应研究--基于PVAR模型[J].管理评论,2015(4):38-47.
[3]陈莉.节能减排政策与合肥科技创新环境分析[J].技术经济与管理研究,2010(6):44-48.
[4]王丽民,宋炳宏,么海亮.技术创新对河北省节能减排作用的实证研究[J].河北大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2011(4):49-54.
[5]宋小波,张金贵.科技创新推进节能减排科学发展打造绿色企业--郑州龙祥铝业大力推进科技创新结硕果[J].决策探索,2010(9):88-89.
[6]韩一杰,刘秀丽.基于超效率DEA模型的中国各地区钢铁行业能源效率及节能减排潜力分析[J].系统科学与数学,2011(3):287-298.
[7]何兰艳.煤矿企业节能减排研究分析[J].科技创新导报,2014(8):15.
[8]曾萍,邓腾智,吴小节.节能减排与技术创新:来自广东珠三角地区企业的经验证据[J].经济体制改革,2013(1):107-111.
[9]陈诗一.节能减排与中国工业的双赢发展:2009-2049[J].经济研究,2010(3):129-143.
[10]张庆芝,何枫,雷家骕.技术效率视角下我国钢铁企业节能减排与企业规模研究[J].软科学,2013(8):6-10.
[11]白云朴,李辉.资源型产业结构优化升级影响因素及其实现路径[J].科技管理研究,2015(12):116-122.
[12]郑季良,周旋.高耗能企业科技创新与节能减排协调发展评价实证研究--基于宝钢2005-2014年可持续发展报告[J].科技与经济,2016(3):19-23.
[13]郑季良,周旋.高耗能企业科技创新与节能减排协调度演进和比较研究[J].科技管理研究,2017(5):216-221.
[14]郑季良,陈卫萍.论高耗能产业群的循环经济协同发展[J].科技进步与对策,2010(2):53-56.
[15]郑季良,王希希.高耗能产业节能减排协同效应比较研究[J].科技与经济,2018(1):101-105.