摘要
分析了2018年中国猪肉生产、供给、消费和价格形势,在此基础上,对2019年猪肉市场形势进行了展望。2018年2季度猪价下跌和3季度生猪禁调政策导致北方主产区和南方主销区供需分化、能繁母猪产能持续下降。2019年,中国生猪存栏量和出栏量预计将明显下滑,进口增加,猪肉供给整体偏紧,猪价预期明显上扬。
This paper analyzed the production, supply, consumption and price of China's pork in 2018, and made prospects for pork market in 2019 based on analyzing pork market in 2018. In 2018, decreasing to lower level of live pig price in the second quarter and the pig products transportation policy in the third quarter resulted in the diversification of supply and demand between the producing area and consumption region in North and South of China and the continuously significant reduction of breeding sows. In 2019, the pig and pork output will continue to decline significantly, the supply of pork will be slightly lower than the demand, and the pig price will rise, which will lead to higher pork import.
引文
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