国外新兴研究话题发现研究综述
|
摘要
新兴研究话题发现一直以来都是学者们广泛关注的研究问题。对于新兴研究话题动向的把握,不仅可从宏观层面为管理部门制定科技政策提供决策支持、以提高科研资金投入的效益、加速科学进步和发展,还可为科研工作者投身富有前景的研究领域提供具体的研究方向建议。对国际核心期刊上关于新兴研究话题发现的研究现状进行梳理发现,目前学术界对新兴研究话题及其相关概念尚无清晰的界定;相应地,新兴研究话题的探测方法也存在诸多的不足;探测新兴研究话题中所依据的指标繁杂多样。综述现有研究,本文给出新兴研究话题的概念及其特征的界定,比较新兴研究话题及其相关概念的联系与区别,并指出在新兴研究话题发现中应注意的具体问题并提出四个方面的工作展望。
The detection of emerging topics is a research area that has been increasingly attracting numerous scholars.attention. An extensive knowledge of the dynamics of emerging topics in science and technology not only provides our government with support to make decisions on policies regarding guidelines for scientific research in order to improve profits from financial investments on scientific research and to accelerate the development of science, but can also offer scientific professionals directions for promising research areas that can help them dedicate themselves to scientific discovery. Although we used summaries of relevant literature on this topic that were published in international core journals, we found no clear definition for"emerging topic"or its related terms. The resulting methodology, therefore, has some limitations to conquer. Indicators for identifying emerging topics vary across the literature. Based on our investigation on the studies in this area, we proposed a definition for"emerging topic"and identified its attributes. Moreover, we also compared"emerging topic"with its related terms and identified some areas worth noting when detecting emerging topics in scientific research. Finally, we presented four aspects of this topic that require further study in the future.
The detection of emerging topics is a research area that has been increasingly attracting numerous scholars.attention. An extensive knowledge of the dynamics of emerging topics in science and technology not only provides our government with support to make decisions on policies regarding guidelines for scientific research in order to improve profits from financial investments on scientific research and to accelerate the development of science, but can also offer scientific professionals directions for promising research areas that can help them dedicate themselves to scientific discovery. Although we used summaries of relevant literature on this topic that were published in international core journals, we found no clear definition for"emerging topic"or its related terms. The resulting methodology, therefore, has some limitations to conquer. Indicators for identifying emerging topics vary across the literature. Based on our investigation on the studies in this area, we proposed a definition for"emerging topic"and identified its attributes. Moreover, we also compared"emerging topic"with its related terms and identified some areas worth noting when detecting emerging topics in scientific research. Finally, we presented four aspects of this topic that require further study in the future.
引文
[1]杨蕙馨,王军.让创新驱动发展行稳致远[J].人民日报,2018.
[2]Goorha S,Ungar L.Discovery of Significant Emerging Trends[C]//Proceedings of the 16th ACM SIGKDD International Con-ference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining.New York:ACM Press,2010:57-64.
[3]Tu Y N,Seng J L.Indices of novelty for emerging topic detection[J].Information Processing&Management,2012,48(2):303-325.
[4]Chen C M.CiteSpace II:Detecting and visualizing emerging trends and transient patterns in scientific literature[J].Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology,2006,57(3):359-377.
[5]Hansmann T,Niemeyer P.Big Data-Characterizing an Emerging Research Field Using Topic Models[C]//2014 IEEE/WIC/ACMInternational Joint Conferences on Web Intelligence and Intelli-gent Agent Technologies.IEEE,2014,1:43-51.
[6]Weismayer C,Pezenka I.Identifying emerging research fields:a longitudinal latent semantic keyword analysis[J].Scientometrics,2017,113(3):1757-1785.
[7]Jari?I,Knezevic-Jaric J,Lenhardt M.Relative age of references as a tool to identify emerging research fields with an application to the field of ecology and environmental sciences[J].Scientomet-rics,2014,100(2):519-529.
[8]An L,Lin X,Yu C,et al.Measuring and visualizing the contribu-tions of Chinese and American LIS research institutions to emerg-ing themes and salient themes[J].Scientometrics,2015,105(3):1605-1634.
[9]Wang Q I.A bibliometric model for identifying emerging re-search topics[J].Journal of the Association for Information Sci-ence and Technology,2018,69(2):290-304.
[10]Small H,Boyack K W,Klavans R.Identifying emerging topics in science and technology[J].Research Policy,2014,43(8):1450-1467.
[11]Boyack K W,Klavans R.Co-citation analysis,bibliographic cou-pling,and direct citation:Which citation approach represents the research front most accurately?[J].Journal of the American Soci-ety for Information Science and Technology,2010,61(12):2389-2404.
[12]Gl?nzel W,Thijs B.Using“core documents”for detecting and la-belling new emerging topics[J].Scientometrics,2012,91(2):399-416.
[13]Rotolo D,Hicks D,Martin B R.What is an emerging technology?[J].Research Policy,2015,44(10):1827-1843.
[14]Fagerberg J,Verspagen B.Innovation studies-The emerging structure of a new scientific field[J].Research Policy,2009,38(2):218-233.
[15]González-Alcaide G,Llorente P,Ramos J M.Bibliometric indica-tors to identify emerging research fields:publications on mass gatherings[J].Scientometrics,2016,109(2):1283-1298.
[16]Yan E.Research dynamics:Measuring the continuity and popular-ity of research topics[J].Journal of Informetrics,2014,8(1):98-110.
[17]Dotsika F,Watkins A.Identifying potentially disruptive trends by means of keyword network analysis[J].Technological Forecast-ing and Social Change,2017,119:114-127.
[18]Goldstein J.Emergence as a construct:History and issues[J].Emergence,1999,1(1):49-72.
[19]Ryan A J.Emergence is coupled to scope,not level[J].Complexi-ty,2007,13(2):67-77.
[20]Schultz L I,Joutz F L.Methods for identifying emerging General Purpose Technologies:a case study of nanotechnologies[J].Scien-tometrics,2010,85(1):155-170.
[21]Meyer M,Persson O.Nanotechnology-interdisciplinarity,pat-terns of collaboration and differences in application[J].Sciento-metrics,1998,42(2):195-205.
[22]Anegon F D,Contreras E J,Corrochano M D.Research fronts in library and information science in Spain(1985-1994)[J].Scient-ometrics,1998,42(2):229-246.
[23]Astrom F.Changes in the LIS research front:Time-sliced cocita-tion analyses of LIS journal articles,1990-2004[J].Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology,2007,58(7):947-957.
[24]Toivanen H.The shift from theory to innovation:the evolution of Brazilian research frontiers 2005-2011[J].Technology Analysis&Strategic Management,2014,26(1):105-119.
[25]Morris M,Herrmann O J.Beyond surveys:The research frontier moves to the use of administrative data to evaluate R&D grants[J].Research Evaluation,2013,22(5):298-306.
[26]Price D J D S.Networks of scientific papers[J].Science,1965,149(3683):510-515.
[27]Upham S P,Small H.Emerging research fronts in science and technology:patterns of new knowledge development[J].Sciento-metrics,2010,83(1):15-38.
[28]Small H G.A co-citation model of a scientific specialty:A longi-tudinal study of collagen research[J].Social studies of science,1977,7(2):139-166.
[29]Morris S A,Yen G,Wu Z,et al.Time line visualization of re-search fronts[J].Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology,2003,54(5):413-422.
[30]Garfield E.Scientography:Mapping the tracks of science[J].Cur-rent Contents:Social&Behavioural Sciences,1994,7(45):5-10.
[31]Huang M H,Chen S H,Lin C Y,et al.Exploring temporal rela-tionships between scientific and technical fronts:a case of bio-technology field[J].Scientometrics,2014,98(2):1085-1100.
[32]Larsen K.Knowledge network hubs and measures of research im-pact,science structure,and publication output in nanostructured solar cell research[J].Scientometrics,2008,74(1):123-142.
[33]Huang M H,Chang C P.A comparative study on three citation windows for detecting research fronts[J].Scientometrics,2016,109(3):1835-1853.
[34]Shibata N,Kajikawa Y,Takeda Y,et al.Detecting emerging re-search fronts based on topological measures in citation networks of scientific publications[J].Technovation,2008,28(11):758-775.
[35]Liu C,Gui Q.Mapping intellectual structures and dynamics of transport geography research:a scientometric overview from1982 to 2014[J].Scientometrics,2016,109(1):159-184.
[36]Small H,Griffith B C.The structure of scientific literatures I:Identifying and graphing specialties[J].Science Studies,1974,4(1):17-40.
[37]Ma V C,Liu J S.Exploring the research fronts and main paths of literature:a case study of shareholder activism research[J].Scient-ometrics,2016,109(1):33-52.
[38]Li M.An exploration to visualise the emerging trends of technolo-gy foresight based on an improved technique of co-word analysis and relevant literature data of WoS[J].Technology Analysis&Strategic Management,2017,29(6):655-671.
[39]Chen C,Dubin R,Kim M C.Emerging trends and new develop-ments in regenerative medicine:a scientometric update(2000-2014)[J].Expert Opinion on Biological Therapy,2014,14(9):1295-1317.
[40]Huang M H,Chang C P.Detecting research fronts in OLED field using bibliographic coupling with sliding window[J].Scientomet-rics,2014,98(3):1721-1744.
[41]Shibata N,Kajikawa Y,Takeda Y,et al.Comparative study on methods of detecting research fronts using different types of cita-tion[J].Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology,2009,60(3):571-580.
[42]Liu X,Jiang T,Ma F.Collective dynamics in knowledge net-works:Emerging trends analysis[J].Journal of Informetrics,2013,7(2):425-438.
[43]Wagner C S,Leydesdorff L.Seismology as a dynamic,distributed area of scientific research[J].Scientometrics,2003,58(1):91-114.
[44]Jensen S,Liu X,Yu Y,et al.Generation of topic evolution trees from heterogeneous bibliographic networks[J].Journal of Infor-metrics,2016,10(2):606-621.
[45]Tseng Y H,Lin Y I,Lee Y Y,et al.A comparison of methods for detecting hot topics[J].Scientometrics,2009,81(1):73-90.
[46]Chen K,Guan J.A bibliometric investigation of research perfor-mance in emerging nanobiopharmaceuticals[J].Journal of Infor-metrics,2011,5(2):233-247.
[47]Aris A,Shneiderman B,Qazvinian V,et al.Visual overviews for discovering key papers and influences across research fronts[J].Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology,2009,60(11):2219-2228.
[48]Natale F,Fiore G,Hofherr J.Mapping the research on aquacul-ture.A bibliometric analysis of aquaculture literature[J].Sciento-metrics,2012,90(3):983-999.
[49]Milman B,Gavrilova Y.Analysis of citation and cocitation in chemical-engineering[J].Scientometrics,1993,27(1):53-74.
[50]Batagelj V,Ferligoj A,Squazzoni F.The emergence of a field:a network analysis of research on peer review[J].Scientometrics,2017,113(1):503-532.
[51]Shapira P,Kwon S,Youtie J.Tracking the emergence of synthetic biology[J].Scientometrics,2017,112(3):1439-1469.
[52]Nederhof A J,Vanwijk E.Mapping the social and behavioral sci-ences world-wide:Use of maps in portfolio analysis of national research efforts[J].Scientometrics,1997,40(2):237-276.
[53]陈仕吉.科学研究前沿探测方法综述[J].数据分析与知识发现,2009(9):28-33.
[54]许晓阳,郑彦宁,赵筱媛,等.研究前沿识别方法的研究进展[J].情报理论与实践,2014,37(6):139-144.
[55]Liu Z,Yin Y,Liu W,et al.Visualizing the intellectual structure and evolution of innovation systems research:a bibliometric anal-ysis[J].Scientometrics,2015,103(1):135-158.
[56]Robinson D K R,Ruivenkamp M,Rip A.Tracking the evolution of new and emerging S&T via statement-linkages:Vision assess-ment in molecular machines[J].Scientometrics,2007,70(3):831-858.
[57]M?rchen F,Dejori M,Fradkin D,et al.Anticipating annotations and emerging trends in biomedical literature[C]//Proceedings of the 14th ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining.New York:ACM Press,2008:954-962.
[58]Yan E.Research dynamics,impact,and dissemination:A topiclevel analysis[J].Journal of the Association for Information Sci-ence and Technology,2015,66(11):2357-2372.
[59]Kleinberg J.Bursty and hierarchical structure in streams[J].Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery,2003,7(4):373-397.
[60]Guo H,Weingart S,B?rner K.Mixed-indicators model for identi-fying emerging research areas[J].Scientometrics,2011,89(1):421-435.
[61]Li M,Chu Y.Explore the research front of a specific research theme based on a novel technique of enhanced co-word analysis[J].Journal of Information Science,2017,43(6):725-741.
[62]Swar B,Khan G F.Mapping ICT knowledge infrastructure in South Asia[J].Scientometrics,2014,99(1):117-137.
[63]Li X,Qiao H,Wang S.Exploring evolution and emerging trends in business model study:a co-citation analysis[J].Scientometrics,2017,111(2):869-887.
[64]Zitt M,Bassecoulard E.Development of a method for detection and trend analysis of research fronts built by lexical or cocitation analysis[J].Scientometrics,1994,30(1):333-351.
[65]Schwechheimer H,Winterhager M.Mapping interdisciplinary re-search fronts in neuroscience:A bibliometric view to retrograde amnesia[J].Scientometrics,2001,51(1):311-318.
[66]Schwechheimer H,Winterhager M.Highly dynamic specialities in climate research[J].Scientometrics,1999,44(3):547-560.
[67]Kontostathis A,De I,Holzman L E,et al.Use of term clusters for emerging trend detection[J].Preprint,2004.
[68]郑彦宁,许晓阳,刘志辉.基于关键词共现的研究前沿识别方法研究[J].图书情报工作,2016,60(4):85-92.
[69]潘玮,牟冬梅,李茵,等.关键词共现方法识别领域研究热点过程中的数据清洗方法[J].图书情报工作,2017,61(7):111-117.
[70]许晓阳,郑彦宁,刘志辉.论文和专利相结合的研究前沿识别方法研究[J].图书情报工作,2016,60(24):97-106.
[71]An X Y,Wu Q Q.Co-word analysis of the trends in stem cells field based on subject heading weighting[J].Scientometrics,2011,88(1):133-144.
[72]Hu C P,Hu J M,Deng S L,et al.A co-word analysis of library and information science in China[J].Scientometrics,2013,97(2):369-382.
[73]Zhao D,Strotmann A.The knowledge base and research front of information science 2006-2010:An author cocitation and biblio-graphic coupling analysis[J].Journal of the Association for Infor-mation Science and Technology,2014,65(5):995-1006.
[74]Zhao D,Strotmann A.Evolution of research activities and intel-lectual influences in information science 1996-2005:Introduc-ing author bibliographic-coupling analysis[J].Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology,2008,59(13):2070-2086.
[75]Ma R.Author bibliographic coupling analysis:A test based on a Chinese academic database[J].Journal of Informetrics,2012,6(4):532-542.
[76]Persson O.The intellectual base and research fronts of JASIS1986-1990[J].Journal of the American Society for Information Science,1994,45(1):31-38.
[77]Bettencourt L M A,Kaiser D I,Kaur J.Scientific discovery and topological transitions in collaboration networks[J].Journal of In-formetrics,2009,3(3):210-221.
[78]Vladutz G,Cook J.Bibliographic coupling and subject related-ness[J].Proceedings of the American Society for Information Sci-ence,1984,21:204-207.
[79]Jarneving B.Bibliographic coupling and its application to re-search-front and other core documents[J].Journal of Informet-rics,2007,1(4):287-307.
[80]Bonaccorsi A,Thoma G.Institutional complementarity and inven-tive performance in nano science and technology[J].Research Policy,2007,36(6):813-831.
[81]Mund C,Neuhaeusler P.Towards an early-stage identification of emerging topics in science-The usability of bibliometric charac-teristics[J].Journal of Informetrics,2015,9(4):1018-1033.
[82]Roche I,Besagni D,Francois C,et al.Identification and charac-terisation of technological topics in the field of Molecular Biology[J].Scientometrics,2010,82(3):663-676.
[83]Schiebel E,H?rlesberger M,Roche I,et al.An advanced diffu-sion model to identify emergent research issues:the case of opto-electronic devices[J].Scientometrics,2010,83(3):765-781.
[84]Ohniwa R L,Hibino A,Takeyasu K.Trends in research foci in life science fields over the last 30 years monitored by emerging topics[J].Scientometrics,2010,85(1):111-127.
[85]Trajtenberg M,Henderson R,Jaffe A.University versus corpo-rate patents:A window on the basicness of invention[J].Econom-ics of Innovation and New Technology,1997,5(1):19-50.
[86]Goldman A W.Conceptualizing the interdisciplinary diffusion and evolution of emerging fields:The case of systems biology[J].Journal of Informetrics,2014,8(1):43-58.
[87]Bettencourt L M A,Kaiser D I,Kaur J,et al.Population model-ing of the emergence and development of scientific fields[J].Sci-entometrics,2008,75(3):495-518.
[88]Comins J A,Leydesdorff L.RPYS i/o:software demonstration of a web-based tool for the historiography and visualization of cita-tion classics,sleeping beauties and research fronts[J].Scientomet-rics,2016,107(3):1509-1517.
[89]Lucio-Arias D,Leydesdorff L.An indicator of research front ac-tivity:Measuring intellectual organization as uncertainty reduc-tion in document sets[J].Journal of the American Society for In-formation Science and Technology,2009,60(12):2488-2498.
[90]Lee W H.How to identify emerging research fields using sciento-metrics:An example in the field of Information Security[J].Sci-entometrics,2008,76(3):503-525.
[91]张丽华,曲建升.期刊编委比非编委论文作者能更早探测出研究前沿吗[J].情报杂志,2017,36(8):113-119.
[92]Kim M C,Chen C.A scientometric review of emerging trends and new developments in recommendation systems[J].Sciento-metrics,2015,104(1):239-263.
[93]Takeda Y,Kajikawa Y.Optics:a bibliometric approach to detect emerging research domains and intellectual bases[J].Scientomet-rics,2009,78(3):543-558.
[94]Chang Y W,Huang M H,Lin C W.Evolution of research subjects in library and information science based on keyword,bibliograph-ical coupling,and co-citation analyses[J].Scientometrics,2015,105(3):2071-2087.
[95]Rohrbeck R,Battistella C,Huizingh E.Corporate foresight:An emerging field with a rich tradition[J].Technological Forecasting and Social Change,2015,101:1-9.
[96]Laurens P,Zitt M,Bassecoulard E.Delineation of the genomics field by hybrid citation-lexical methods:interaction with experts and validation process[J].Scientometrics,2010,82(3):647-662.
[97]付鑫金,方曙,庞弘燊.基于共词分析的我国情报学博硕士学位论文研究热点分析[J].情报科学,2011,29(11):1722-1725.
[98]魏群义,侯桂楠,霍然.近10年国内情报学硕士学位论文研究热点统计分析[J].图书情报工作,2012,56(2):35-81.
[99]Freyne J,Coyle L,Smyth B,et al.Relative status of journal and conference publications in computer science[J].Communications of the ACM,2010,53(11):124-132.
[100]Zhao D,Strotmann A.Can citation analysis of Web publications better detect research fronts?[J].Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology,2007,58(9):1285-1302.
[101]Glassey O.Exploring the weak signals of starts-ups as a folk-sonomic system[J].Technology Analysis&Strategic Manage-ment,2009,21(3):321-332.
[102]王效岳,刘自强,白如江,等.基于基金项目数据的研究前沿主题探测方法[J].图书情报工作,2017,61(13):87-98.
[103]Lu C,Ding Y,Zhang C.Understanding the impact change of a highly cited article:a content-based citation analysis[J].Sciento-metrics,2017,112(2):927-945.
[104]Huang M,Chang C P.A comparative study on detecting research fronts in the organic light-emitting diode(OLED)field using bib-liographic coupling and co-citation[J].Scientometrics,2015,102(3):2041-2057.
[105]Miguel S,Moya-Anegon F,Herrero-Solana V.New approach to institutional domain analysis:Multilevel research fronts structure[J].Scientometrics,2008,74(3):331-344.
[106]Kuhn T S.The structure of scientific revolutions[M].Chicago:University of Chicago Press,1963:2.
[107]Kreuchauff F,Korzinov V.A patent search strategy based on ma-chine learning for the emerging field of service robotics[J].Scien-tometrics,2017,111(2):743-772.
[108]Wang X,Cheng Q,Lu W.Analyzing evolution of research topics with NEViewer:a new method based on dynamic co-word net-works[J].Scientometrics,2014,101(2):1253-1271.
[2]Goorha S,Ungar L.Discovery of Significant Emerging Trends[C]//Proceedings of the 16th ACM SIGKDD International Con-ference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining.New York:ACM Press,2010:57-64.
[3]Tu Y N,Seng J L.Indices of novelty for emerging topic detection[J].Information Processing&Management,2012,48(2):303-325.
[4]Chen C M.CiteSpace II:Detecting and visualizing emerging trends and transient patterns in scientific literature[J].Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology,2006,57(3):359-377.
[5]Hansmann T,Niemeyer P.Big Data-Characterizing an Emerging Research Field Using Topic Models[C]//2014 IEEE/WIC/ACMInternational Joint Conferences on Web Intelligence and Intelli-gent Agent Technologies.IEEE,2014,1:43-51.
[6]Weismayer C,Pezenka I.Identifying emerging research fields:a longitudinal latent semantic keyword analysis[J].Scientometrics,2017,113(3):1757-1785.
[7]Jari?I,Knezevic-Jaric J,Lenhardt M.Relative age of references as a tool to identify emerging research fields with an application to the field of ecology and environmental sciences[J].Scientomet-rics,2014,100(2):519-529.
[8]An L,Lin X,Yu C,et al.Measuring and visualizing the contribu-tions of Chinese and American LIS research institutions to emerg-ing themes and salient themes[J].Scientometrics,2015,105(3):1605-1634.
[9]Wang Q I.A bibliometric model for identifying emerging re-search topics[J].Journal of the Association for Information Sci-ence and Technology,2018,69(2):290-304.
[10]Small H,Boyack K W,Klavans R.Identifying emerging topics in science and technology[J].Research Policy,2014,43(8):1450-1467.
[11]Boyack K W,Klavans R.Co-citation analysis,bibliographic cou-pling,and direct citation:Which citation approach represents the research front most accurately?[J].Journal of the American Soci-ety for Information Science and Technology,2010,61(12):2389-2404.
[12]Gl?nzel W,Thijs B.Using“core documents”for detecting and la-belling new emerging topics[J].Scientometrics,2012,91(2):399-416.
[13]Rotolo D,Hicks D,Martin B R.What is an emerging technology?[J].Research Policy,2015,44(10):1827-1843.
[14]Fagerberg J,Verspagen B.Innovation studies-The emerging structure of a new scientific field[J].Research Policy,2009,38(2):218-233.
[15]González-Alcaide G,Llorente P,Ramos J M.Bibliometric indica-tors to identify emerging research fields:publications on mass gatherings[J].Scientometrics,2016,109(2):1283-1298.
[16]Yan E.Research dynamics:Measuring the continuity and popular-ity of research topics[J].Journal of Informetrics,2014,8(1):98-110.
[17]Dotsika F,Watkins A.Identifying potentially disruptive trends by means of keyword network analysis[J].Technological Forecast-ing and Social Change,2017,119:114-127.
[18]Goldstein J.Emergence as a construct:History and issues[J].Emergence,1999,1(1):49-72.
[19]Ryan A J.Emergence is coupled to scope,not level[J].Complexi-ty,2007,13(2):67-77.
[20]Schultz L I,Joutz F L.Methods for identifying emerging General Purpose Technologies:a case study of nanotechnologies[J].Scien-tometrics,2010,85(1):155-170.
[21]Meyer M,Persson O.Nanotechnology-interdisciplinarity,pat-terns of collaboration and differences in application[J].Sciento-metrics,1998,42(2):195-205.
[22]Anegon F D,Contreras E J,Corrochano M D.Research fronts in library and information science in Spain(1985-1994)[J].Scient-ometrics,1998,42(2):229-246.
[23]Astrom F.Changes in the LIS research front:Time-sliced cocita-tion analyses of LIS journal articles,1990-2004[J].Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology,2007,58(7):947-957.
[24]Toivanen H.The shift from theory to innovation:the evolution of Brazilian research frontiers 2005-2011[J].Technology Analysis&Strategic Management,2014,26(1):105-119.
[25]Morris M,Herrmann O J.Beyond surveys:The research frontier moves to the use of administrative data to evaluate R&D grants[J].Research Evaluation,2013,22(5):298-306.
[26]Price D J D S.Networks of scientific papers[J].Science,1965,149(3683):510-515.
[27]Upham S P,Small H.Emerging research fronts in science and technology:patterns of new knowledge development[J].Sciento-metrics,2010,83(1):15-38.
[28]Small H G.A co-citation model of a scientific specialty:A longi-tudinal study of collagen research[J].Social studies of science,1977,7(2):139-166.
[29]Morris S A,Yen G,Wu Z,et al.Time line visualization of re-search fronts[J].Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology,2003,54(5):413-422.
[30]Garfield E.Scientography:Mapping the tracks of science[J].Cur-rent Contents:Social&Behavioural Sciences,1994,7(45):5-10.
[31]Huang M H,Chen S H,Lin C Y,et al.Exploring temporal rela-tionships between scientific and technical fronts:a case of bio-technology field[J].Scientometrics,2014,98(2):1085-1100.
[32]Larsen K.Knowledge network hubs and measures of research im-pact,science structure,and publication output in nanostructured solar cell research[J].Scientometrics,2008,74(1):123-142.
[33]Huang M H,Chang C P.A comparative study on three citation windows for detecting research fronts[J].Scientometrics,2016,109(3):1835-1853.
[34]Shibata N,Kajikawa Y,Takeda Y,et al.Detecting emerging re-search fronts based on topological measures in citation networks of scientific publications[J].Technovation,2008,28(11):758-775.
[35]Liu C,Gui Q.Mapping intellectual structures and dynamics of transport geography research:a scientometric overview from1982 to 2014[J].Scientometrics,2016,109(1):159-184.
[36]Small H,Griffith B C.The structure of scientific literatures I:Identifying and graphing specialties[J].Science Studies,1974,4(1):17-40.
[37]Ma V C,Liu J S.Exploring the research fronts and main paths of literature:a case study of shareholder activism research[J].Scient-ometrics,2016,109(1):33-52.
[38]Li M.An exploration to visualise the emerging trends of technolo-gy foresight based on an improved technique of co-word analysis and relevant literature data of WoS[J].Technology Analysis&Strategic Management,2017,29(6):655-671.
[39]Chen C,Dubin R,Kim M C.Emerging trends and new develop-ments in regenerative medicine:a scientometric update(2000-2014)[J].Expert Opinion on Biological Therapy,2014,14(9):1295-1317.
[40]Huang M H,Chang C P.Detecting research fronts in OLED field using bibliographic coupling with sliding window[J].Scientomet-rics,2014,98(3):1721-1744.
[41]Shibata N,Kajikawa Y,Takeda Y,et al.Comparative study on methods of detecting research fronts using different types of cita-tion[J].Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology,2009,60(3):571-580.
[42]Liu X,Jiang T,Ma F.Collective dynamics in knowledge net-works:Emerging trends analysis[J].Journal of Informetrics,2013,7(2):425-438.
[43]Wagner C S,Leydesdorff L.Seismology as a dynamic,distributed area of scientific research[J].Scientometrics,2003,58(1):91-114.
[44]Jensen S,Liu X,Yu Y,et al.Generation of topic evolution trees from heterogeneous bibliographic networks[J].Journal of Infor-metrics,2016,10(2):606-621.
[45]Tseng Y H,Lin Y I,Lee Y Y,et al.A comparison of methods for detecting hot topics[J].Scientometrics,2009,81(1):73-90.
[46]Chen K,Guan J.A bibliometric investigation of research perfor-mance in emerging nanobiopharmaceuticals[J].Journal of Infor-metrics,2011,5(2):233-247.
[47]Aris A,Shneiderman B,Qazvinian V,et al.Visual overviews for discovering key papers and influences across research fronts[J].Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology,2009,60(11):2219-2228.
[48]Natale F,Fiore G,Hofherr J.Mapping the research on aquacul-ture.A bibliometric analysis of aquaculture literature[J].Sciento-metrics,2012,90(3):983-999.
[49]Milman B,Gavrilova Y.Analysis of citation and cocitation in chemical-engineering[J].Scientometrics,1993,27(1):53-74.
[50]Batagelj V,Ferligoj A,Squazzoni F.The emergence of a field:a network analysis of research on peer review[J].Scientometrics,2017,113(1):503-532.
[51]Shapira P,Kwon S,Youtie J.Tracking the emergence of synthetic biology[J].Scientometrics,2017,112(3):1439-1469.
[52]Nederhof A J,Vanwijk E.Mapping the social and behavioral sci-ences world-wide:Use of maps in portfolio analysis of national research efforts[J].Scientometrics,1997,40(2):237-276.
[53]陈仕吉.科学研究前沿探测方法综述[J].数据分析与知识发现,2009(9):28-33.
[54]许晓阳,郑彦宁,赵筱媛,等.研究前沿识别方法的研究进展[J].情报理论与实践,2014,37(6):139-144.
[55]Liu Z,Yin Y,Liu W,et al.Visualizing the intellectual structure and evolution of innovation systems research:a bibliometric anal-ysis[J].Scientometrics,2015,103(1):135-158.
[56]Robinson D K R,Ruivenkamp M,Rip A.Tracking the evolution of new and emerging S&T via statement-linkages:Vision assess-ment in molecular machines[J].Scientometrics,2007,70(3):831-858.
[57]M?rchen F,Dejori M,Fradkin D,et al.Anticipating annotations and emerging trends in biomedical literature[C]//Proceedings of the 14th ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining.New York:ACM Press,2008:954-962.
[58]Yan E.Research dynamics,impact,and dissemination:A topiclevel analysis[J].Journal of the Association for Information Sci-ence and Technology,2015,66(11):2357-2372.
[59]Kleinberg J.Bursty and hierarchical structure in streams[J].Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery,2003,7(4):373-397.
[60]Guo H,Weingart S,B?rner K.Mixed-indicators model for identi-fying emerging research areas[J].Scientometrics,2011,89(1):421-435.
[61]Li M,Chu Y.Explore the research front of a specific research theme based on a novel technique of enhanced co-word analysis[J].Journal of Information Science,2017,43(6):725-741.
[62]Swar B,Khan G F.Mapping ICT knowledge infrastructure in South Asia[J].Scientometrics,2014,99(1):117-137.
[63]Li X,Qiao H,Wang S.Exploring evolution and emerging trends in business model study:a co-citation analysis[J].Scientometrics,2017,111(2):869-887.
[64]Zitt M,Bassecoulard E.Development of a method for detection and trend analysis of research fronts built by lexical or cocitation analysis[J].Scientometrics,1994,30(1):333-351.
[65]Schwechheimer H,Winterhager M.Mapping interdisciplinary re-search fronts in neuroscience:A bibliometric view to retrograde amnesia[J].Scientometrics,2001,51(1):311-318.
[66]Schwechheimer H,Winterhager M.Highly dynamic specialities in climate research[J].Scientometrics,1999,44(3):547-560.
[67]Kontostathis A,De I,Holzman L E,et al.Use of term clusters for emerging trend detection[J].Preprint,2004.
[68]郑彦宁,许晓阳,刘志辉.基于关键词共现的研究前沿识别方法研究[J].图书情报工作,2016,60(4):85-92.
[69]潘玮,牟冬梅,李茵,等.关键词共现方法识别领域研究热点过程中的数据清洗方法[J].图书情报工作,2017,61(7):111-117.
[70]许晓阳,郑彦宁,刘志辉.论文和专利相结合的研究前沿识别方法研究[J].图书情报工作,2016,60(24):97-106.
[71]An X Y,Wu Q Q.Co-word analysis of the trends in stem cells field based on subject heading weighting[J].Scientometrics,2011,88(1):133-144.
[72]Hu C P,Hu J M,Deng S L,et al.A co-word analysis of library and information science in China[J].Scientometrics,2013,97(2):369-382.
[73]Zhao D,Strotmann A.The knowledge base and research front of information science 2006-2010:An author cocitation and biblio-graphic coupling analysis[J].Journal of the Association for Infor-mation Science and Technology,2014,65(5):995-1006.
[74]Zhao D,Strotmann A.Evolution of research activities and intel-lectual influences in information science 1996-2005:Introduc-ing author bibliographic-coupling analysis[J].Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology,2008,59(13):2070-2086.
[75]Ma R.Author bibliographic coupling analysis:A test based on a Chinese academic database[J].Journal of Informetrics,2012,6(4):532-542.
[76]Persson O.The intellectual base and research fronts of JASIS1986-1990[J].Journal of the American Society for Information Science,1994,45(1):31-38.
[77]Bettencourt L M A,Kaiser D I,Kaur J.Scientific discovery and topological transitions in collaboration networks[J].Journal of In-formetrics,2009,3(3):210-221.
[78]Vladutz G,Cook J.Bibliographic coupling and subject related-ness[J].Proceedings of the American Society for Information Sci-ence,1984,21:204-207.
[79]Jarneving B.Bibliographic coupling and its application to re-search-front and other core documents[J].Journal of Informet-rics,2007,1(4):287-307.
[80]Bonaccorsi A,Thoma G.Institutional complementarity and inven-tive performance in nano science and technology[J].Research Policy,2007,36(6):813-831.
[81]Mund C,Neuhaeusler P.Towards an early-stage identification of emerging topics in science-The usability of bibliometric charac-teristics[J].Journal of Informetrics,2015,9(4):1018-1033.
[82]Roche I,Besagni D,Francois C,et al.Identification and charac-terisation of technological topics in the field of Molecular Biology[J].Scientometrics,2010,82(3):663-676.
[83]Schiebel E,H?rlesberger M,Roche I,et al.An advanced diffu-sion model to identify emergent research issues:the case of opto-electronic devices[J].Scientometrics,2010,83(3):765-781.
[84]Ohniwa R L,Hibino A,Takeyasu K.Trends in research foci in life science fields over the last 30 years monitored by emerging topics[J].Scientometrics,2010,85(1):111-127.
[85]Trajtenberg M,Henderson R,Jaffe A.University versus corpo-rate patents:A window on the basicness of invention[J].Econom-ics of Innovation and New Technology,1997,5(1):19-50.
[86]Goldman A W.Conceptualizing the interdisciplinary diffusion and evolution of emerging fields:The case of systems biology[J].Journal of Informetrics,2014,8(1):43-58.
[87]Bettencourt L M A,Kaiser D I,Kaur J,et al.Population model-ing of the emergence and development of scientific fields[J].Sci-entometrics,2008,75(3):495-518.
[88]Comins J A,Leydesdorff L.RPYS i/o:software demonstration of a web-based tool for the historiography and visualization of cita-tion classics,sleeping beauties and research fronts[J].Scientomet-rics,2016,107(3):1509-1517.
[89]Lucio-Arias D,Leydesdorff L.An indicator of research front ac-tivity:Measuring intellectual organization as uncertainty reduc-tion in document sets[J].Journal of the American Society for In-formation Science and Technology,2009,60(12):2488-2498.
[90]Lee W H.How to identify emerging research fields using sciento-metrics:An example in the field of Information Security[J].Sci-entometrics,2008,76(3):503-525.
[91]张丽华,曲建升.期刊编委比非编委论文作者能更早探测出研究前沿吗[J].情报杂志,2017,36(8):113-119.
[92]Kim M C,Chen C.A scientometric review of emerging trends and new developments in recommendation systems[J].Sciento-metrics,2015,104(1):239-263.
[93]Takeda Y,Kajikawa Y.Optics:a bibliometric approach to detect emerging research domains and intellectual bases[J].Scientomet-rics,2009,78(3):543-558.
[94]Chang Y W,Huang M H,Lin C W.Evolution of research subjects in library and information science based on keyword,bibliograph-ical coupling,and co-citation analyses[J].Scientometrics,2015,105(3):2071-2087.
[95]Rohrbeck R,Battistella C,Huizingh E.Corporate foresight:An emerging field with a rich tradition[J].Technological Forecasting and Social Change,2015,101:1-9.
[96]Laurens P,Zitt M,Bassecoulard E.Delineation of the genomics field by hybrid citation-lexical methods:interaction with experts and validation process[J].Scientometrics,2010,82(3):647-662.
[97]付鑫金,方曙,庞弘燊.基于共词分析的我国情报学博硕士学位论文研究热点分析[J].情报科学,2011,29(11):1722-1725.
[98]魏群义,侯桂楠,霍然.近10年国内情报学硕士学位论文研究热点统计分析[J].图书情报工作,2012,56(2):35-81.
[99]Freyne J,Coyle L,Smyth B,et al.Relative status of journal and conference publications in computer science[J].Communications of the ACM,2010,53(11):124-132.
[100]Zhao D,Strotmann A.Can citation analysis of Web publications better detect research fronts?[J].Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology,2007,58(9):1285-1302.
[101]Glassey O.Exploring the weak signals of starts-ups as a folk-sonomic system[J].Technology Analysis&Strategic Manage-ment,2009,21(3):321-332.
[102]王效岳,刘自强,白如江,等.基于基金项目数据的研究前沿主题探测方法[J].图书情报工作,2017,61(13):87-98.
[103]Lu C,Ding Y,Zhang C.Understanding the impact change of a highly cited article:a content-based citation analysis[J].Sciento-metrics,2017,112(2):927-945.
[104]Huang M,Chang C P.A comparative study on detecting research fronts in the organic light-emitting diode(OLED)field using bib-liographic coupling and co-citation[J].Scientometrics,2015,102(3):2041-2057.
[105]Miguel S,Moya-Anegon F,Herrero-Solana V.New approach to institutional domain analysis:Multilevel research fronts structure[J].Scientometrics,2008,74(3):331-344.
[106]Kuhn T S.The structure of scientific revolutions[M].Chicago:University of Chicago Press,1963:2.
[107]Kreuchauff F,Korzinov V.A patent search strategy based on ma-chine learning for the emerging field of service robotics[J].Scien-tometrics,2017,111(2):743-772.
[108]Wang X,Cheng Q,Lu W.Analyzing evolution of research topics with NEViewer:a new method based on dynamic co-word net-works[J].Scientometrics,2014,101(2):1253-1271.