Driving Force of China's Agricultural Exports to Japan
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摘要
Japan is the largest export destination for Chinese agricultural products. The export status to Japan is directly related to the overall trend of China's agricultural exports. Based on the HS9-coded agricultural product trade data of the Japanese Ministry of Finance in 2001-2017,using the ternary marginal analysis method,the driving force of China's agricultural exports to Japan was analyzed in this paper from a static and dynamic perspective. The results showed that 98. 89% of the driving force of China's agricultural exports to Japan was from the contribution of quantity margin. The contribution of the extensive margin had been decreasing year by year after 2006,and it has been negative for many years. The reason was that technical barriers such as the Positive List System lead to less export of agricultural product in varieties and types. The average marginal contribution rate of price was 8. 26%. The average price of exported agricultural products has been basically higher than the world average level since 2013,suggesting that the quality of exported agricultural products has been improved. While maintaining the quantity of agricultural exports,improving the quality of agricultural products,expanding export varieties and increasing export value added are the sources of sustainable growth of China's agricultural exports in the future.
Japan is the largest export destination for Chinese agricultural products. The export status to Japan is directly related to the overall trend of China's agricultural exports. Based on the HS9-coded agricultural product trade data of the Japanese Ministry of Finance in 2001-2017,using the ternary marginal analysis method,the driving force of China's agricultural exports to Japan was analyzed in this paper from a static and dynamic perspective. The results showed that 98. 89% of the driving force of China's agricultural exports to Japan was from the contribution of quantity margin. The contribution of the extensive margin had been decreasing year by year after 2006,and it has been negative for many years. The reason was that technical barriers such as the Positive List System lead to less export of agricultural product in varieties and types. The average marginal contribution rate of price was 8. 26%. The average price of exported agricultural products has been basically higher than the world average level since 2013,suggesting that the quality of exported agricultural products has been improved. While maintaining the quantity of agricultural exports,improving the quality of agricultural products,expanding export varieties and increasing export value added are the sources of sustainable growth of China's agricultural exports in the future.
Japan is the largest export destination for Chinese agricultural products. The export status to Japan is directly related to the overall trend of China's agricultural exports. Based on the HS9-coded agricultural product trade data of the Japanese Ministry of Finance in 2001-2017,using the ternary marginal analysis method,the driving force of China's agricultural exports to Japan was analyzed in this paper from a static and dynamic perspective. The results showed that 98. 89% of the driving force of China's agricultural exports to Japan was from the contribution of quantity margin. The contribution of the extensive margin had been decreasing year by year after 2006,and it has been negative for many years. The reason was that technical barriers such as the Positive List System lead to less export of agricultural product in varieties and types. The average marginal contribution rate of price was 8. 26%. The average price of exported agricultural products has been basically higher than the world average level since 2013,suggesting that the quality of exported agricultural products has been improved. While maintaining the quantity of agricultural exports,improving the quality of agricultural products,expanding export varieties and increasing export value added are the sources of sustainable growth of China's agricultural exports in the future.
引文
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[5]YI AJ,WANG CH.Research on pricing of agricultural products based on supply-side reform[J].Management World,2018,34(9):178-179.(in Chinese).
[6]TAN JR,PAN HX.A study of the influence trade facilitation had on the export of Chinese agricultural products[J].Journal of International Trade,2016,42(5):39-49.(in Chinese).
[7]SUN LF,CHEN Z.How does economic openness in the context of"One Belt and One Road"affect the international competitiveness of agricultural products:evidence from RCEP countries[J].World Economy Study,2018,37(3):81-94.(in Chinese).
[8]WEI SH.Agricultural products trade between China and"The Belt and Road"countries:Network structure,correlation characteristics and strategy selection[J].Issues in Agricultural Economy,2018,39(11):101-113.(in Chinese).
[9]YAN XT,QI CJ.Research on the triple margins and pricing power of China's fresh agricultural exports:A case study of China's fruit exports to Russia,Japan and the United States[J].Research of Agricultural Modernization,2016,37(4):694-700.(in Chinese).
[10]WEI YY,FAN XF.The analysis of three margins of China's export and its influencing factors under the background of one belt one road[J].Journal of International Trade,2017,43(6):166-176.(in Chinese).
[11]DONG YG,HUANG JW.Impact of SPS measures on quality upgrading of agricultural exports---An empirical analysis based on proximity to frontier model[J].Journal of International Trade,2018,44(10):45-57.(in Chinese).
[12]DONG YG.A study on the strategy and compliance cost of SPS measures for agricultural products in China[M].Beijing:China Agriculture Press,2011.(in Chinese).
[2]HUMMELS D,KLENOW PJ.The variety and quality of a nation's exports[J].American Economic Review,2005,95(3):704-723.
[3]SHI BZ.The three margins of China's export growth[J].China Economic Quarterly,2010,9(4):1311-1330.(in Chinese).
[4]WANG Q.Analysis on the dynamic effect of service and technology innovation on the performance of China's agricultural export trade[J].Macroeconomics,2016,19(3):139-148.(in Chinese).
[5]YI AJ,WANG CH.Research on pricing of agricultural products based on supply-side reform[J].Management World,2018,34(9):178-179.(in Chinese).
[6]TAN JR,PAN HX.A study of the influence trade facilitation had on the export of Chinese agricultural products[J].Journal of International Trade,2016,42(5):39-49.(in Chinese).
[7]SUN LF,CHEN Z.How does economic openness in the context of"One Belt and One Road"affect the international competitiveness of agricultural products:evidence from RCEP countries[J].World Economy Study,2018,37(3):81-94.(in Chinese).
[8]WEI SH.Agricultural products trade between China and"The Belt and Road"countries:Network structure,correlation characteristics and strategy selection[J].Issues in Agricultural Economy,2018,39(11):101-113.(in Chinese).
[9]YAN XT,QI CJ.Research on the triple margins and pricing power of China's fresh agricultural exports:A case study of China's fruit exports to Russia,Japan and the United States[J].Research of Agricultural Modernization,2016,37(4):694-700.(in Chinese).
[10]WEI YY,FAN XF.The analysis of three margins of China's export and its influencing factors under the background of one belt one road[J].Journal of International Trade,2017,43(6):166-176.(in Chinese).
[11]DONG YG,HUANG JW.Impact of SPS measures on quality upgrading of agricultural exports---An empirical analysis based on proximity to frontier model[J].Journal of International Trade,2018,44(10):45-57.(in Chinese).
[12]DONG YG.A study on the strategy and compliance cost of SPS measures for agricultural products in China[M].Beijing:China Agriculture Press,2011.(in Chinese).