入境旅游市场时空演变及发展态势研究——以安徽省为例
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摘要
旅游市场时空变化特征分析是科学制定区域旅游发展战略的基础,基于2008—2017年安徽省入境旅游统计数据,选用年际集中指数、地理集中指数以及亲景度指数分别对安徽省10年间入境旅游时间及空间的变化特征进行研究。结果表明:从时间来看,安徽省10年间入境旅游发展平稳上升;从空间来看,安徽省入境旅游客源市场相对稳定。根据结论,为促进安徽省今后入境旅游的进一步发展提出建议。
The analysis of the characteristics of time and space in tourism market is the basis for scientifically formulating the development strategy of regional tourism. Based on the statistics of inbound tourism in Anhui Province from2008 to 2017,this paper selects the annual concentration index,geographic concentration index and affinity index respectively. The characteristics of the changes in the time and space of inbound tourism in Anhui Province during the past 10 years were studied. The results show that from the time point of view,the development of inbound tourism in Anhui Province has increased steadily in the past 10 years; from the perspective of space,the inbound tourist source market in Anhui Province is relatively stable. According to the conclusion,suggestions are made to promote the further development of inbound tourism in Anhui Province.
The analysis of the characteristics of time and space in tourism market is the basis for scientifically formulating the development strategy of regional tourism. Based on the statistics of inbound tourism in Anhui Province from2008 to 2017,this paper selects the annual concentration index,geographic concentration index and affinity index respectively. The characteristics of the changes in the time and space of inbound tourism in Anhui Province during the past 10 years were studied. The results show that from the time point of view,the development of inbound tourism in Anhui Province has increased steadily in the past 10 years; from the perspective of space,the inbound tourist source market in Anhui Province is relatively stable. According to the conclusion,suggestions are made to promote the further development of inbound tourism in Anhui Province.
引文
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[5]刘军胜,马耀峰,李振亭. 1997—2010年中部六省入境旅游流集散时空动态分析[J].地理科学,2013,33(4):450-455.
[6]李振亭,马耀峰,李创新等.近20年来中国入境旅游流流量与流质的变化分析[J].陕西师范大学学报:自然科学版,2012,40(1):94-99.
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[2]Lima C,Mc Aleer M. Monthly Seasonal Variations:Asian Tourism to Australia[J]. Annals of Tourism Research,2001,28(1):68-82.
[3]Wade DK,Mwasaga BC. A History and Market Analysis of Tourism in Tanzania[J]. Tourism Management,2001,22(1):93-101
[4]吴良平,张健.入境游客在中国区域的动态分布及其预测研究———基于带虚拟变量的ARIMA模型[J].旅游学刊,2015,30(11):74-84.
[5]刘军胜,马耀峰,李振亭. 1997—2010年中部六省入境旅游流集散时空动态分析[J].地理科学,2013,33(4):450-455.
[6]李振亭,马耀峰,李创新等.近20年来中国入境旅游流流量与流质的变化分析[J].陕西师范大学学报:自然科学版,2012,40(1):94-99.
[7]纪小美,陈金华.福建省入境旅游市场时空动态变化及其拓展对策[J].经济地理,2013,33(5):158-164.
[8]秦欣.甘肃省入境旅游时空演变特征分析[D].兰州:西北师范大学,2012.
[9]栾福明,熊黑钢,王芳等.山东国际入境旅游客源国市场时空变动特征分析[J].生态经济,2013(2):315-319.