基于结构偏离度的我国海洋产业分析
|
摘要
为促进我国海洋产业结构的优化升级和海洋经济的可持续发展,文章概述我国海洋产业结构现状,选取相关数据和普通最小二乘法模型,计算2005—2014年我国海洋产业结构偏离度,并分析其对海洋经济的影响。研究结果表明:目前我国海洋经济的增长动力主要来源于海洋第二、第三产业,海洋产业结构较合理;产业结构偏离度与劳动生产率成反比,海洋第一产业结构偏离度较高,海洋第二、第三产业结构偏离度较低,这与我国海洋经济发展历程密切相关;产业结构偏离度对海洋经济的影响由大到小依次为海洋第二产业、海洋第三产业和海洋第一产业。在此基础上,提出3点建议,即现代化模式完善海洋第一产业、政府助力完善海洋第二产业和发展多种产业完善海洋第三产业。
In order to promote the optimization and upgrading of China's marine industry structure and the sustainable development of the marine economy,the paper outlined the current status of China's marine industry structure,selected relevant data and common least squares model to calculate the structural deviation of China's marine industry from 2005 to 2014 and analyze its impact on the marine economy.The research results showed that the current growth momentum of China's marine economy mainly came from the marine secondary industry and tertiary industry.The structure of the marine industry was more reasonable.The deviation of industrial structure was inversely proportional to the labor productivity.The structure of the marine primary industry was highly deviated,and the secondary and tertiary industry structure had a low degree of deviation,which was closely related to the development of China's marine economy.The influence ofindustrial structure deviation on the marine economy from the largest to the smallest was the marine secondary industry,the marine tertiary industry and the marine primary industry.On the basis of the conclusions,three suggestions were proposed:the modernization model to improve the marine primary industry,the government to assist the marine secondary industry and the development of various industries to improve the marine tertiary industry.
In order to promote the optimization and upgrading of China's marine industry structure and the sustainable development of the marine economy,the paper outlined the current status of China's marine industry structure,selected relevant data and common least squares model to calculate the structural deviation of China's marine industry from 2005 to 2014 and analyze its impact on the marine economy.The research results showed that the current growth momentum of China's marine economy mainly came from the marine secondary industry and tertiary industry.The structure of the marine industry was more reasonable.The deviation of industrial structure was inversely proportional to the labor productivity.The structure of the marine primary industry was highly deviated,and the secondary and tertiary industry structure had a low degree of deviation,which was closely related to the development of China's marine economy.The influence ofindustrial structure deviation on the marine economy from the largest to the smallest was the marine secondary industry,the marine tertiary industry and the marine primary industry.On the basis of the conclusions,three suggestions were proposed:the modernization model to improve the marine primary industry,the government to assist the marine secondary industry and the development of various industries to improve the marine tertiary industry.
引文
[1]苏东水.产业经济学[M].北京:高等教育出版社,2015.
[2]LEWIS W A.Economic development with unlimited supplies of labor[J].Manch Sch Econ Soc Stud,1954(22):139-191.
[3]DIETRICH A.Does growth cause structural change,or it is the other way around?A dynamic panel data analysis for seven OECD countries[J].Empir Econ,2012,43(3):915-944.
[4]刘伟,张辉.中国经济增长中的产业结构变迁和技术进步[J].经济研究,2008(11):4-15.
[5]狄乾斌,刘欣欣,王萌.我国海洋产业结构变动对海洋经济增长贡献的时空差异研究[J].经济地理,2014,34(10):98-103.
[6]王波,韩立民.中国海洋产业结构变动对海洋经济增长的影响:基于沿海11省市的面板门槛效应回归分析[J].资源科学,2017,39(6):1182-1193.
[7]孙鹏,李世杰.海洋产业结构问题研究[M].北京:中国经济出版社,2017.
[2]LEWIS W A.Economic development with unlimited supplies of labor[J].Manch Sch Econ Soc Stud,1954(22):139-191.
[3]DIETRICH A.Does growth cause structural change,or it is the other way around?A dynamic panel data analysis for seven OECD countries[J].Empir Econ,2012,43(3):915-944.
[4]刘伟,张辉.中国经济增长中的产业结构变迁和技术进步[J].经济研究,2008(11):4-15.
[5]狄乾斌,刘欣欣,王萌.我国海洋产业结构变动对海洋经济增长贡献的时空差异研究[J].经济地理,2014,34(10):98-103.
[6]王波,韩立民.中国海洋产业结构变动对海洋经济增长的影响:基于沿海11省市的面板门槛效应回归分析[J].资源科学,2017,39(6):1182-1193.
[7]孙鹏,李世杰.海洋产业结构问题研究[M].北京:中国经济出版社,2017.