互联互通背景下巨灾对经济影响的全球性和复杂性的进展与展望
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摘要
互联互通背景下,国际贸易作为连接各个国家和地区经济系统的纽带和桥梁,是巨灾经济影响跨区域传播的通道.该文通过对国内外相关研究的梳理,阐述了巨灾产生全球性经济影响的过程和机理.首先,从自然灾害等级的界定和巨灾的定义与划分着手,分析了近年来巨灾经济损失的发展趋势.其次,从间接经济损失的内涵与外延、灾害强度与经济影响的关联性、巨灾对性经济影响的区域差异性和全球化进程对巨灾间接经济损失的放大作用4个方面,分析了巨灾经济影响的多因素研究进展.再次,从巨灾经济影响的微观机制、巨灾的全球性经济影响机制、巨灾对宏观经济的影响机制、巨灾对全球经济生产的影响和巨灾对国际贸易的影响5个方面,分析了巨灾的全球性经济影响机制和过程研究进展.最后,从6个方面提出未来亟需加强的研究,以期对巨灾经济影的响全球性和复杂性有进一步的科学认识.
International trade,as a link and bridge between countries and regional economic systems,is a channel for catastrophic economic impacts across regional under the background of interconnection.By combing the relevant research,this research expounds the process and mechanism of the catastrophe impact of the global economy.Firstly,from the definition of natural disaster grade and the definition and division of catastrophe,the tendency of catastrophic economic loss in recent years is analyzed.Secondly,the research progress on multi factor analysis of economic impact by catastrophe are investigated from four aspects,including the connotation and extension of indirect economic loss,relationship between disaster intensity and economic impact,regional differences of the impact of catastrophe on economy and amplification of indirect economic losses caused by catastrophe in the process of globalization.Thirdly,the research progress on mechanism and process of impact on global economy by catastrophe are analyzed from five aspects,including microeconomic mechanism of catastrophic economic impacts,global economic impact mechanism of catastrophe,impact mechanism of catastrophe on macroeconomy,impact of catastrophe on global economy,and impact of catastrophe on international trade.Thus,we put forward six aspects of research which are ugent to be strengthened in order to have a further scientific understanding of the global and complexity of catastrophic economic phenomena.
International trade,as a link and bridge between countries and regional economic systems,is a channel for catastrophic economic impacts across regional under the background of interconnection.By combing the relevant research,this research expounds the process and mechanism of the catastrophe impact of the global economy.Firstly,from the definition of natural disaster grade and the definition and division of catastrophe,the tendency of catastrophic economic loss in recent years is analyzed.Secondly,the research progress on multi factor analysis of economic impact by catastrophe are investigated from four aspects,including the connotation and extension of indirect economic loss,relationship between disaster intensity and economic impact,regional differences of the impact of catastrophe on economy and amplification of indirect economic losses caused by catastrophe in the process of globalization.Thirdly,the research progress on mechanism and process of impact on global economy by catastrophe are analyzed from five aspects,including microeconomic mechanism of catastrophic economic impacts,global economic impact mechanism of catastrophe,impact mechanism of catastrophe on macroeconomy,impact of catastrophe on global economy,and impact of catastrophe on international trade.Thus,we put forward six aspects of research which are ugent to be strengthened in order to have a further scientific understanding of the global and complexity of catastrophic economic phenomena.
引文
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