基于盲数理论改进未确知测度的冲击地压评价模型应用研究
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摘要
冲击地压的影响因素较多,冲击地压评价过程中含有很多不确定信息,常规的冲击地压评价方法未能将这些不确定信息统筹考虑,造成评价结果失真;基于盲数理论,统筹考虑冲击倾向性、地质因素、开采技术因素、安全管理因素构建未确知测度冲击地压评价模型,并应用于隰东煤业有限公司冲击地压危险评价。工程实践结果表明,基于盲数理论的未确知测度冲击地压评价模型精度较高,较好地适用于现场实践。
There are many factors affecting rock burst, and there is a lot of uncertain information in the process of rock burst evaluation. Conventional rock burst evaluation methods fail to consider the uncertain information as a whole, resulting in the distortion of evaluation results. Based on the blind number theory, this paper considers the impact tendency, geological factors and mining technology in an innovative way. The factors and safety management factors construct the unascertained measure rock burst evaluation model which is applied to the risk assessment of rock burst in Xidong Coal Industry. The engineering practice results show that the unascertained measure rock burst evaluation model based on blind number theory has high accuracy and is better suitable for field practice.
There are many factors affecting rock burst, and there is a lot of uncertain information in the process of rock burst evaluation. Conventional rock burst evaluation methods fail to consider the uncertain information as a whole, resulting in the distortion of evaluation results. Based on the blind number theory, this paper considers the impact tendency, geological factors and mining technology in an innovative way. The factors and safety management factors construct the unascertained measure rock burst evaluation model which is applied to the risk assessment of rock burst in Xidong Coal Industry. The engineering practice results show that the unascertained measure rock burst evaluation model based on blind number theory has high accuracy and is better suitable for field practice.
引文
[1]赵永芳,张凌云,于丽雅.未确知测度模型在冲击地压评价中的应用[J].煤炭技术,2018,37(7):208-210.
[2]曾繁慧,张晶,汪北方,等.煤矿冲击地压危险性模糊综合评价[J].辽宁工程技术大学学报(自然科学版),2018,37(1):205-209.
[3]穆成林,黄润秋,裴向军,等.基于组合赋权-未确知测度理论的围岩稳定性评价[J].岩土工程学报,2016,38(6):1057-1063.
[4]陈光波.基于云模型和D-S理论的冲击地压危险性综合评价[J].矿业研究与开发,2017,37(6):26-30.
[5]张凯,顾士坦.不同采掘扰动下的冲击地压危险ANN评价方法[J].煤矿安全,2017,48(3):182-185.
[6]庞彦军,马桂珍,张博文.盲数均值及其应用[J].河北建筑科技学院学报,1998(4):58-61.
[7]刘开第,吴和琴,庞彦军.综合处理专家意见的MABM方法[J].数学的实践与认识,2001(4):474-477.
[8]王光远.未确知信息及其数学处理[J].哈尔滨建筑工程学院学报,1990(4):1-9.
[9]刘开第,李万庆,庞彦军.未确知集[J].数学的实践与认识,2006(10):197-204.
[10]刘晓云,叶义成,刘洋,等.基于未确知测度理论的巷道稳定性评价[J].安全与环境学报,2017,17(1):26-31.
[11]谭丽龙,周科平.基于未确知测度理论的井下综合通讯系统稳定性评价[J].矿业研究与开发,2015,35(4):88-90.
[2]曾繁慧,张晶,汪北方,等.煤矿冲击地压危险性模糊综合评价[J].辽宁工程技术大学学报(自然科学版),2018,37(1):205-209.
[3]穆成林,黄润秋,裴向军,等.基于组合赋权-未确知测度理论的围岩稳定性评价[J].岩土工程学报,2016,38(6):1057-1063.
[4]陈光波.基于云模型和D-S理论的冲击地压危险性综合评价[J].矿业研究与开发,2017,37(6):26-30.
[5]张凯,顾士坦.不同采掘扰动下的冲击地压危险ANN评价方法[J].煤矿安全,2017,48(3):182-185.
[6]庞彦军,马桂珍,张博文.盲数均值及其应用[J].河北建筑科技学院学报,1998(4):58-61.
[7]刘开第,吴和琴,庞彦军.综合处理专家意见的MABM方法[J].数学的实践与认识,2001(4):474-477.
[8]王光远.未确知信息及其数学处理[J].哈尔滨建筑工程学院学报,1990(4):1-9.
[9]刘开第,李万庆,庞彦军.未确知集[J].数学的实践与认识,2006(10):197-204.
[10]刘晓云,叶义成,刘洋,等.基于未确知测度理论的巷道稳定性评价[J].安全与环境学报,2017,17(1):26-31.
[11]谭丽龙,周科平.基于未确知测度理论的井下综合通讯系统稳定性评价[J].矿业研究与开发,2015,35(4):88-90.