安徽省科技创新与新型城镇化耦合协调度发展研究
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摘要
基于2010-2017年期间安徽省16个地市科技创新与新型城镇化两系统面板数据,应用耦合协调度模型对两系统的耦合度、协调度测算分析,结合GIS分析安徽省科技创新与新型城镇化耦合协调度空间分布演化,并用Tobit回归模型探讨影响两系统协调发展的因素。研究结果表明:安徽省科技创新与新型城镇化两系统耦合协调度缓慢上升,由重度失调迈向勉强协调;大多数地市科技创新能力滞后于新型城镇化发展;经济发展水平、技术成果转化能力、外资利用水平促进两系统的协调发展,工业发展对其有阻碍作用。
Based on the panel data of the two systems of the scientific and the technological innovation and new urbanization in 16 cities of Anhui Province from 2010 to 2017, the coupling degree and coordination degree between the two systems are calculated and analyzed by using the coupling coordination degree model, and the spatial distribution evolution of the coupling coordination degree of scientific and technological innovation and new urbanization in Anhui Province is analyzed by combining GIS, and the factors influencing the coordinated development of the two systems are discussed by using Tobit regression model. The results show that the coupling degree between the technological innovation and the new urbanization in Anhui Province is slowly rising, from the severe imbalance to barely coordinated. The scientific and technological innovation ability of the most cities lags behind the development of new urbanization. The level of economic development, the ability to transform technological achievements, and the level of foreign capital utilization promote the coordinated development of the two systems and industrial development hinders them.
Based on the panel data of the two systems of the scientific and the technological innovation and new urbanization in 16 cities of Anhui Province from 2010 to 2017, the coupling degree and coordination degree between the two systems are calculated and analyzed by using the coupling coordination degree model, and the spatial distribution evolution of the coupling coordination degree of scientific and technological innovation and new urbanization in Anhui Province is analyzed by combining GIS, and the factors influencing the coordinated development of the two systems are discussed by using Tobit regression model. The results show that the coupling degree between the technological innovation and the new urbanization in Anhui Province is slowly rising, from the severe imbalance to barely coordinated. The scientific and technological innovation ability of the most cities lags behind the development of new urbanization. The level of economic development, the ability to transform technological achievements, and the level of foreign capital utilization promote the coordinated development of the two systems and industrial development hinders them.
引文
[1]郑强.科技创新对新型城镇化的影响——基于面板门槛模型的实证分析[J].城市问题, 2017(6):25-35.
[2]田逸飘,张卫国,刘明月.科技创新与新型城镇化包容性发展耦合协调度测度——基于省级数据的分析[J].城市问题,2017(1):12-18.
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[4]徐秋艳,张秋炜.科技创新与新型城镇化的耦合关系及其时空分异研究——以“丝绸之路经济带”沿线九省市为例[J].石河子大学学报(哲学社会科学版), 2018, 32(4):63-71.
[5]梁满和.以珠海为例浅谈新型城镇化背景下的村居规划编制[J].中华民居(下旬刊), 2014(4):40.
[6]王文寅,刘娇娇,李永清.科技创新能力对新型城镇化水平的影响——以山西省为例[J].经济问题, 2016(11):121-124.
[7]郑凌霄.科技创新投入与新型城镇化发展的关联性研究——以江苏省为例[J].农村经济与科技, 2014, 25(12):176-178.
[8]黄娟,李枥霖.生态城镇化及其生态科技创新驱动[J].管理学刊, 2013, 26(4):22-27.
[9]黄河东,李东.中国城市群城镇化与生态环境耦合协调关系评价[J].江苏农业科学, 2018, 46(21):268-272.
[10]周燕妃,何刚,金兰,等.经济发展与生态环境耦合协调发展研究[J].安徽理工大学学报(社会科学版),2018,20(2):38-44.
[11]程云鹤,万李红,王燊.城镇化与生态环境耦合协调度时空差异动态分析——基于2005-2015年安徽16地市的面板数据[J].安徽理工大学学报(社会科学版), 2018, 20(5):24-34.
[12]史本叶,罗思坦.开放条件下的新型城镇化:外商直接投资的作用及对策[J].上海金融, 2014(7):22-28.
[2]田逸飘,张卫国,刘明月.科技创新与新型城镇化包容性发展耦合协调度测度——基于省级数据的分析[J].城市问题,2017(1):12-18.
[3]王迪,孙国忠.常州市科技创新与生态文明的耦合协调度评价[J].中国集体经济, 2017(3):150-151.
[4]徐秋艳,张秋炜.科技创新与新型城镇化的耦合关系及其时空分异研究——以“丝绸之路经济带”沿线九省市为例[J].石河子大学学报(哲学社会科学版), 2018, 32(4):63-71.
[5]梁满和.以珠海为例浅谈新型城镇化背景下的村居规划编制[J].中华民居(下旬刊), 2014(4):40.
[6]王文寅,刘娇娇,李永清.科技创新能力对新型城镇化水平的影响——以山西省为例[J].经济问题, 2016(11):121-124.
[7]郑凌霄.科技创新投入与新型城镇化发展的关联性研究——以江苏省为例[J].农村经济与科技, 2014, 25(12):176-178.
[8]黄娟,李枥霖.生态城镇化及其生态科技创新驱动[J].管理学刊, 2013, 26(4):22-27.
[9]黄河东,李东.中国城市群城镇化与生态环境耦合协调关系评价[J].江苏农业科学, 2018, 46(21):268-272.
[10]周燕妃,何刚,金兰,等.经济发展与生态环境耦合协调发展研究[J].安徽理工大学学报(社会科学版),2018,20(2):38-44.
[11]程云鹤,万李红,王燊.城镇化与生态环境耦合协调度时空差异动态分析——基于2005-2015年安徽16地市的面板数据[J].安徽理工大学学报(社会科学版), 2018, 20(5):24-34.
[12]史本叶,罗思坦.开放条件下的新型城镇化:外商直接投资的作用及对策[J].上海金融, 2014(7):22-28.