中巴经济走廊建设:成果、风险与对策
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摘要
经过六年的辛勤建设,中巴经济走廊取得了丰硕的先期成果,并在三个方面凸显了它的示范效应:一是促进了中巴全天候的战略合作,为打造中巴命运共同体打下了坚实的基础;二是为巴基斯坦开辟了新的经济增长点,成为推动巴基斯坦发展的引擎;三是作为新时代的标志性工程,在"一带一路"合作中发挥了示范效应。当然,中巴经济走廊建设仍然面临着严峻的安全风险障碍、投资风险障碍、社会文化风险障碍与地缘政治风险障碍。如何化解风险,保证中巴经济走廊建设可持续发展?首先要照顾双方利益诉求,夯实中巴合作基础;其次要坚持开放共赢理念,化解地缘政治风险;再次要坚持市场运作规则,防范与应对投资风险。
After six years of continuous effort,bountiful preliminary result has been reaped in the construction of Sino-Pakistan Economic Corridor,whose exemplary effect are manifested in three aspects: It improves the all-weather strategic cooperation between the two countries,thus laying a solid foundation for their common destiny; It opens new economic growth points by providing the locomotive for the development of the country;As a signature project of the new era,it plays an exemplary role in the cooperation of the construction of the "Belt and Road". Of course,the construction of Sino-Pakistan Economic Corridor still faces obstacles of serious security risks,investment risks,socio-culture risks and geopolitics. How to reduce the risks to ensure the sustainable development of the construction of Sino-Pakistan Economic Corridor? First,the appeals of various interests should be taken into account for a solid foundation of Sino-Pakistan cooperation. Second,the win-win concept should be maintained to reduce the geopolitical risks. Third,the rules of the market functioning should be observed to guard against and respond to the investment risks.
After six years of continuous effort,bountiful preliminary result has been reaped in the construction of Sino-Pakistan Economic Corridor,whose exemplary effect are manifested in three aspects: It improves the all-weather strategic cooperation between the two countries,thus laying a solid foundation for their common destiny; It opens new economic growth points by providing the locomotive for the development of the country;As a signature project of the new era,it plays an exemplary role in the cooperation of the construction of the "Belt and Road". Of course,the construction of Sino-Pakistan Economic Corridor still faces obstacles of serious security risks,investment risks,socio-culture risks and geopolitics. How to reduce the risks to ensure the sustainable development of the construction of Sino-Pakistan Economic Corridor? First,the appeals of various interests should be taken into account for a solid foundation of Sino-Pakistan cooperation. Second,the win-win concept should be maintained to reduce the geopolitical risks. Third,the rules of the market functioning should be observed to guard against and respond to the investment risks.
引文
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[23]杨迅.巴基斯坦3.2万名安保人员将护卫中巴经济走廊[EB/OL].环球网,2015-11-02.http:∥war.163.com/15/1102/09/B7DGATLJ00014OVF.html.
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[25]刘波.“一带一路”安全保障体系建构中的私营安保公司研究[J].国际安全研究,2018,(5):120-136.
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[2]巴基斯坦总理.中巴经济走廊建设正在加速推进[EB/OL].参考消息,2018-04-12.https:∥baijiahao.baidu.com/sid=1597489080006199102&wfr=spider&for=pc.
[3]林韩.中巴经济走廊建设背景下中国电建的机遇与挑战[J].中国建设信息化,2017,(20):66-68.
[4]王南.从中巴经济走廊建设看中巴关系及其前瞻[J].新丝路学刊,2018,(2):21-26.
[5]徐秀军.中巴经济走廊建设:进展、问题与对策[J].区域与全球发展,2018,(6):135-151.
[6]国务院国有资产管理委员会.国机CMEC签署巴基斯坦塔尔煤电项目融资协议[EB/OL].2015-12-14.http:∥www.sasac.gov.cn/n2588025/n2588124/c3812862/content.html.
[7]温灏,沈继奔.“一带一路”投融资模式与合作机制的政策思考[J].宏观经济管理,2019,(2):54-61.
[8]海南公共安全研究院.2018东南亚地区恐怖主义新态势[EB/OL].2019-01-02.https:∥baijiahao.baidu.com/sid=1623686278454121625&wfr=spider&for=pc.
[9]刘倩.南亚恐怖主义与“一带一路”沿线的海外利益保护[J].印度洋经济体研究,2018,(5):55-78.
[10]王奇,梅建明.中巴经济走廊沿线恐怖威胁分析及对策[J].南亚研究,2017,(4):15-41.
[11]王义桅,郑栋.“一带一路”战略的道德风险与应对措施[J].东北亚论坛,2015,(4).
[12]施国庆,张锐连,等.中国巴基斯坦经济走廊投资社会风险探究[J].河海大学学报,2017,(1):59-64.
[13]周平.“一带一路”面临的地缘政治风险及其管控[J].探索与争鸣,2016,(1):83-86.
[14]刘艳峰.印度对中巴经济走廊建设的认知与反应[J].国际研究参考,2017,(9):23-28.
[15]何茂春,张冀兵,等.“一带一路”战略面临的障碍与对策[J].新疆师范大学学报,2015,(3):36-45.
[16]亚太日报.巴基斯坦反驳抹黑中巴经济走廊报道:歪曲事实[EB/OL].环球网,2018-08-09.https:∥cn.apdnews.com/toutiao/873474.html.
[17]巴尔拉斯.谁在抹黑中巴经济走廊[EB/OL].环球网,2018-08-28,https:∥baijiahao.baidu.com/sid=1609993368070541454&wfr=spider&for=pc.
[18]赛义德·哈桑·贾伟德.中巴经济走廊是推动巴基斯坦发展的引擎[N].人民日报,2019-02-22.
[19]纳杰姆丁·谢赫.关于中巴经济走廊建设的若干思考[J].新丝路学刊,2018,(1):16-21.
[20]白永秀,何昊.五年来“一带一路”研究的进展、问题与展望[J].西北大学学报:哲学社会科学版,2019,(1):149-162.
[21]梁桐.试析中巴经济走廊对美国“新丝绸之路”计划的地缘冲击[J].南亚研究,2016,(3):20-37.
[22]崔守军.中国海外安保体系建构刍议[J].国际瞭望,2017,(3):78-98.
[23]杨迅.巴基斯坦3.2万名安保人员将护卫中巴经济走廊[EB/OL].环球网,2015-11-02.http:∥war.163.com/15/1102/09/B7DGATLJ00014OVF.html.
[24]刘莲莲.国家海外利益保护机制论析[J].世界经济与政治,2017,(10):126-153.
[25]刘波.“一带一路”安全保障体系建构中的私营安保公司研究[J].国际安全研究,2018,(5):120-136.
[26]王毅.中巴经济走廊22个项目只有4个使用中方贷款[EB/OL].观察网,2018-09-09.http:∥mil.news.sina.com.cn/china/2018-09-09/doc-ihivtsyk3577427.shtml.