珠海市镇域耕地多功能性与安全耦合协调度分析
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摘要
以土地利用数据和社会经济统计数据为基础,集成综合指数模型、耦合协调模型和地理探测器,从镇域尺度探讨了1990—2015年珠海市耕地多功能性与安全耦合协调度的时空变化及其影响因子。结果表明:1)珠海市镇域耕地多功能性与安全耦合协调度的演变在1990—2000年间相对平缓;而在2000—2015年间相对剧烈,总体上全市耦合协调度均值由1990年的0.65降为2015年的0.59。2)珠海市镇域耕地多功能性与安全耦合协调度下降区域主要分布在东部,上升区域主要分布在西部,整体呈西部耦合协调度高于中部和东部的分布格局。3)根据地理探测器的结果可知,土地垦殖率、种植业占GDP比重、各类作物产量、化肥农药施用量等是珠海市镇域耕地多功能性与安全耦合协调度演变的主导影响因子。
Cultivated land can be regarded as a coupled system defined by human-nature interaction. The multifunctionality and security of it are therefore critical to the sustainable development of both the cultivated land and the human society. Furthermore, studying the coupled and coordinated development between the multifunctionality and security of the cultivated land is also the key to enhance its utilization and protection. For the town of Zhuhai, in particular, it is important to carry out such a study in a period of rapid urbanization. Therefore,taking Zhuhai as the study area, and utilizing land use data and socio-economic statistical data covering the period1990-2015, this work investigates the temporal and spatial variation of the coupling coordination degree between multifunctionality and security of cultivated land by means of the comprehensive index evaluation method and the coupling coordination degree model. Besides, by using a new statistical method, the Geodetector, this article work also reveals the main factors controlling the development of the coupling coordination degree. Conclusions are drawn as follows: 1) the temporal variation of the coupling coordination degree between multifunctionality and security of cultivated land at town scale in Zhuhai is relatively steady in the period 1990-2000 but drastic in the period 2000-2015; in general, it decreases from 0.65 to 0.59 from 1990 to 2015; 2) the spatial variation of the coupling coordination degree exhibits an increasing trend in the western area, and a decreasing trend in the eastern area from 1990 to 2015; on the whole, its spatial distribution pattern shows that the western area is higher than the central and eastern areas; 3) according to the Geodetector, different factors have a different impact on the development of the coupling coordination degree: land reclamation rate, planting industry's proportion in GDP,output of crops, amount of chemical fertilizers and pesticides are the main factors affecting the development of coupling coordination degree, since they affect the cultivated land resource endowment, the utilization efficiency,the planting structure, and the input of chemical substances.
Cultivated land can be regarded as a coupled system defined by human-nature interaction. The multifunctionality and security of it are therefore critical to the sustainable development of both the cultivated land and the human society. Furthermore, studying the coupled and coordinated development between the multifunctionality and security of the cultivated land is also the key to enhance its utilization and protection. For the town of Zhuhai, in particular, it is important to carry out such a study in a period of rapid urbanization. Therefore,taking Zhuhai as the study area, and utilizing land use data and socio-economic statistical data covering the period1990-2015, this work investigates the temporal and spatial variation of the coupling coordination degree between multifunctionality and security of cultivated land by means of the comprehensive index evaluation method and the coupling coordination degree model. Besides, by using a new statistical method, the Geodetector, this article work also reveals the main factors controlling the development of the coupling coordination degree. Conclusions are drawn as follows: 1) the temporal variation of the coupling coordination degree between multifunctionality and security of cultivated land at town scale in Zhuhai is relatively steady in the period 1990-2000 but drastic in the period 2000-2015; in general, it decreases from 0.65 to 0.59 from 1990 to 2015; 2) the spatial variation of the coupling coordination degree exhibits an increasing trend in the western area, and a decreasing trend in the eastern area from 1990 to 2015; on the whole, its spatial distribution pattern shows that the western area is higher than the central and eastern areas; 3) according to the Geodetector, different factors have a different impact on the development of the coupling coordination degree: land reclamation rate, planting industry's proportion in GDP,output of crops, amount of chemical fertilizers and pesticides are the main factors affecting the development of coupling coordination degree, since they affect the cultivated land resource endowment, the utilization efficiency,the planting structure, and the input of chemical substances.
引文
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Chen L,Song G,Meadows M E and Zou C.2018.Spatio-temporal Evolution of the Early-warning Status of Cultivated Land and Its Driving Factors:A Case Study of Heilongjiang Province,China.Land Use Policy,72:280-292.
Deng X,Gibson J and Wang P.2017.Management of Trade-offs Between Cultivated Land Conversions and Land Productivity in Shandong Province.Journal of Cleaner Production,142:767-774.
杜继丰,袁中.2015.基于耕地多功能需求的巨型城市区耕地保护阈值探讨--以珠江三角洲为例.自然资源学报,30(8):1255-1266.[Du Jifeng and Yuan Zhongyou.2015.Cultivated land Protection Threshold Calculation from Perspective of Multifunctional Demands for Cultivated land in Mega-urban Region-A Case Study in the Pearl River Delta.Journal of Natural Resources,30(8):1255-1266.]
范业婷,金晓斌,项晓敏,杨绪红,刘晶,周寅康.2018.苏南地区耕地多功能评价与空间特征分析.资源科学,40(5):980-992.[Fan Yeting,Jin Xiaobin,Xiang Xiaomin,Yang Xuhong,Liu Jing and Zhou Yinkang.2018.Evaluation and Spatial Characteristics of Arable Land Multifunction in Southern Jiangsu.Resources Science,40(5):980-992.]
匡丽花,叶英聪,赵小敏,郭熙.2018.基于改进TOPSIS方法的耕地系统安全评价及障碍因子诊断.自然资源学报,33(9):1627-1641.[Kuang Lihua,Ye Yingcong,Zhao Xiaomin and Guo Xi.2018.Evaluation and Obstacle Factor Diagnosis of Cultivated Land System Security in Yingtan City Based on the Improved TOPSIS Method.Journal of Natural Resources,33(9):1627-1641.]
李升发,李秀彬.2016.耕地撂荒研究进展与展望.地理学报,71(3):370-389.[Li Shengfa and Li Xiubin.2016.Progress and Prospect on Farmland Abandonment.Acta Geographica Sinica,71(3):370-389.]
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彭保发,郑俞,刘宇.2018.耦合生态服务的区域生态安全格局研究框架.地理科学,38(3):361-367.[Peng Baofa,Zheng Yu and Liu Yu.2017.Coupling Ecosystem Services and Regional Ecological Security Pattern.Scientia Geographica Sinica,38(3):361-367.]
彭建,刘志聪,刘焱序,陈昕,赵会娟.2016.京津冀地区县域耕地景观多功能性评价.生态学报,36(8):2274-2285.[Peng Jian,Liu Zhicong,Liu Yanxu,Chen Xin and Zhao Huijuan.2016.Assessment of Farmland Landscape Multifunctionality at County Level in BeijingTianjin-Hebei Area.Acta Ecologica Sinica,36(8):2274-2285.]
宋戈,王越,雷国平.2014.松嫩高平原黑土区耕地利用系统安全影响因子作用机理研究--以黑龙江省巴彦县为例.自然资源学报,29(1):13-26.[Song Ge,Wang Yue and Lei Guoping.2014.Land Use System Security of Black Soil Region in Songnen High Plain:A Case Study of Bayan County in Heilongjiang Province.Journal of Natural Resources,29(1):13-26.]
Song X,Huang Y,Wu Z F and Ouyang Z.2015.Does Cultivated Land Function Transition Occur in China?.Journal of Geographical Sciences,25(7):817-835.
宋小青,欧阳竹.2012a.耕地多功能内涵及其对耕地保护的启示.地理科学进展,31(7):859-868.[Song Xiaoqing and Ouyang Zhu.2012a.Connotation of Multifunctional Cultivated Land and Its Implications for Cultivated Land Protection.Progress in Geography,31(7):859-868.]
宋小青,欧阳竹.2012b.1999-2007年中国粮食安全的关键影响因素.地理学报,67(6):793-803.[Song Xiaoqing and Ouyang Zhu.2012b.Key Influencing Factors of Food Security Guarantee in China during1999-2007.Acta Geographica Sinica,67(6):793-803.]
Tscharntke T,Clough Y,Wanger T C,Jackson L,Motzke I,Perfecto I,Vandermeer J and Whitbread A.2012.Global Food Security,Biodiversity Conservation and the Future of Agricultural Intensification.Biological Conservation,151(1):53-59.
Verhagen W,Van Zanden E H,Strauch M,Van Teeffelen A J A and Verburg P H.2018.Optimizing the Allocation of Agri-environment Measures to Navigate the Trade-offs Between Ecosystem Services,Biodiversity and Agricultural Production.Environmental Science&Policy,84:186-196.
王成,彭清,唐宁,李颢颖.2018.2005-2015年耕地多功能时空演变及其协同与权衡研究--以重庆市沙坪坝区为例.地理科学,38(4):590-599.[Wan g Cheng,Peng Qing,Tang Ning and Li Haoying.2018.Spatio-temporal Evolution and the Synergy and Trade-off Relationship of Cultivated Land Multi-function in 2005-2015:A Case of Shapingba District,Chongqing City.Scientia Geographica Sinica,38(4):590-599.]
王芳,冯艳芬,卓莉,周涛.2013.基于改进遗传算法投影寻踪的大城市郊区耕地安全综合评价.热带地理,33(4):373-380.[Wang Fang,Feng Yanfen,Zhuo Li and Zhou Tao.2013.Comprehensive Evaluation of Arable Land Security in Metropolitan Suburbs Using Projection Pursuit Model Based on Improved Genetic Algorithms.Tropical Geography,33(4):373-380.]
王枫,董玉祥.2015a.基于灰色关联投影法的土地利用多功能动态评价及障碍因子诊断--以广州市为例.自然资源学报,30(10):1698-1713.[Wang Feng and Dong Yuxiang.2015a.Dynamic Evaluation of Land Use Functions Based on Grey Relation Projection Method and Diagnosis of Its Obstacle Indicator:A Case Study of Guangzhou City.Journal of Natural Resources,30(10):1698-1713.]
王枫,董玉祥.2015b.广州市土地利用多功能的空间差异及影响因素分析.资源科学,37(11):2179-2192.[Wang Feng and Dong Yuxiang.2015b.Spatial Differences and Influencing Factors of Land Use Function in Guangzhou.Resources Science,37(11):2179-2192.]
王劲峰,徐成东.2017.地理探测器:原理与展望.地理学报,72(1):116-134.[Wang Jinfeng and Xu Chengdong.2017.Geodetector:Principle and Prospective.Acta Geographica Sinica,72(1):116-134.]
吴大放,刘艳艳,董玉祥,刘海珍,倪少春.2009.珠海市耕地变化时空特征及其驱动力分析.热带地理,29(5):472-476.[Wu Dafang,Liu Yanyan,Dong Yuxiang,Liu Haizhen and Ni Shaochun.2009.Analysis on the Spatial-temporal Changes of Cultivated Land and Their Driving Forces in Zhuhai.Tropical Geography,29(5):472-476.]
谢高地,鲁春霞,冷允法,郑度,李双成.2003.青藏高原生态资产的价值评估.自然资源学报,18(2):189-196.[Xie Gaodi,Lu Chunxia,Leng Yunfa,Zheng Du and Li Shuangcheng.2003.Ecological Assets Valuation of the Tibetan Plateau.Journal of Natural Resources,18(2):189-196.]
徐珊,宋戈,李丹,王扬.2012.东北粮食主产区耕地资源时空变化及其对粮食生产能力的影响.农业工程学报,28(21):1-9.[Xu Shan,Song Ge,Li Dan and Wang Yang.2012.Spatial-temporal Variation of Cultiva ted Land and Its Effects on Grain Production Capacity of Northeast Grain Main Production Area.Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering,28(21):1-9.]
叶晓琪,宋小青,谭子安,吴志峰.2017.大都市镇域耕地功能格局及其成因--以广州市为例.热带地理,37(6):862-873.[Ye Xiaoqi,Song Xiaoqing,Tan Zi’an and Wu Zhifeng.2017.Functional Pattern of Cultiva ted Land and Its Cause in Metropolitan at the Sub-district Scale:A Case Study of Guangzhou.Tropical Geography,37(6):862-873.]
叶云,赵小娟,胡月明.2018.基于GA-BP神经网络的珠三角耕地质量评价.生态环境学报,27(5):964-973.[Ye Yun,Zhao Xiaojuan and Hu Yueming.2018.Evaluation of Cultivated Land Quality in Pearl River Delta Based on GA-BP Neural Network.Ecology and Environmental Sciences,27(5):964-973.]
张冰洁,宋戈.2012.松嫩高平原黑土区典型地域耕地生态安全评价及驱动力分析--以黑龙江省绥化市为例.水土保持研究,19(3):215-220.[Zhang Bingjie and Song Ge.2012.Evaluation on Cultivated Land Ecologica l Security and Analysis on the Driving Forces of the Typical Mollisols Area in Songen High Plain:A Case Study of City in Heilongjian g Province.Research of Soil and Water Conservation,19(3):215-220.]
张浩,冯淑怡,曲福田.2017.耕地保护、建设用地集约利用与城镇化耦合协调性研究.自然资源学报,32(6):1002-1015.[Zhang Hao,Feng Shuyi and Qu Futian.2017.Research on Coupling Coordination Among Cultivated Land Protection,Construction Land Intensive Use and Urbanization.Journal of Natu ral Resources,32(6):1002-1015.]
张英男,龙花楼,戈大专,屠爽爽,曲艺.2018.黄淮海平原耕地功能演变的时空特征及其驱动机制.地理学报,73(3):1-17.[Zhang Yingnan,Long Hualou,Ge Dazhuan,Tu Shuangshuang and Qu Yi.2018.Spatio-temporal Characteristics and Dynamic Mechanism of Farmland Functions Evolution in the Huang-Huai-Hai Plain.Acta Geographica Sinica,73(3):1-17.]
赵宏波,马延吉.2014.东北粮食主产区耕地生态安全的时空格局及障碍因子--以吉林省为例.应用生态学报,25(2):515-524.[Zhao Hongbo and Ma Yanji.2014.Spatial-temporal Pattern and Obstacle Factors of Cultivated Land Ecological Security in Major Grain Producing Areas of Northeast China:A Case Study in Jilin Province.Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology,25(2):515-524.]
Zheng W,Ke X Zhou T and Yang B.2018.Trade-offs Between Cropland Quality and Ecosystem Services of Marginal Compensated Cropland-ACase Study in Wuhan,China.Ecological Indicators,https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2018.05.089.
Zhou D,Xu J and Lin Z.2017.Conflict or coordination?Assessing Land Use Multi-functionaliza tion Using Production-living-ecology Analysis.Science of the Total Environment,577:136-147.
Bommarco R,Kleijn D and Potts S G.2013.Ecological Intensification:Harnessing Ecosystem Services for Food Security.Trends in Ecology&Evolution,28(4):230-238.
Chen L,Song G,Meadows M E and Zou C.2018.Spatio-temporal Evolution of the Early-warning Status of Cultivated Land and Its Driving Factors:A Case Study of Heilongjiang Province,China.Land Use Policy,72:280-292.
Deng X,Gibson J and Wang P.2017.Management of Trade-offs Between Cultivated Land Conversions and Land Productivity in Shandong Province.Journal of Cleaner Production,142:767-774.
杜继丰,袁中.2015.基于耕地多功能需求的巨型城市区耕地保护阈值探讨--以珠江三角洲为例.自然资源学报,30(8):1255-1266.[Du Jifeng and Yuan Zhongyou.2015.Cultivated land Protection Threshold Calculation from Perspective of Multifunctional Demands for Cultivated land in Mega-urban Region-A Case Study in the Pearl River Delta.Journal of Natural Resources,30(8):1255-1266.]
范业婷,金晓斌,项晓敏,杨绪红,刘晶,周寅康.2018.苏南地区耕地多功能评价与空间特征分析.资源科学,40(5):980-992.[Fan Yeting,Jin Xiaobin,Xiang Xiaomin,Yang Xuhong,Liu Jing and Zhou Yinkang.2018.Evaluation and Spatial Characteristics of Arable Land Multifunction in Southern Jiangsu.Resources Science,40(5):980-992.]
匡丽花,叶英聪,赵小敏,郭熙.2018.基于改进TOPSIS方法的耕地系统安全评价及障碍因子诊断.自然资源学报,33(9):1627-1641.[Kuang Lihua,Ye Yingcong,Zhao Xiaomin and Guo Xi.2018.Evaluation and Obstacle Factor Diagnosis of Cultivated Land System Security in Yingtan City Based on the Improved TOPSIS Method.Journal of Natural Resources,33(9):1627-1641.]
李升发,李秀彬.2016.耕地撂荒研究进展与展望.地理学报,71(3):370-389.[Li Shengfa and Li Xiubin.2016.Progress and Prospect on Farmland Abandonment.Acta Geographica Sinica,71(3):370-389.]
Millennium Ecosystem Assessment.2005.Ecosystems and Human WellBeing:Biodiversity Synthesis.Washington DC:World Resources Institute.
彭保发,郑俞,刘宇.2018.耦合生态服务的区域生态安全格局研究框架.地理科学,38(3):361-367.[Peng Baofa,Zheng Yu and Liu Yu.2017.Coupling Ecosystem Services and Regional Ecological Security Pattern.Scientia Geographica Sinica,38(3):361-367.]
彭建,刘志聪,刘焱序,陈昕,赵会娟.2016.京津冀地区县域耕地景观多功能性评价.生态学报,36(8):2274-2285.[Peng Jian,Liu Zhicong,Liu Yanxu,Chen Xin and Zhao Huijuan.2016.Assessment of Farmland Landscape Multifunctionality at County Level in BeijingTianjin-Hebei Area.Acta Ecologica Sinica,36(8):2274-2285.]
宋戈,王越,雷国平.2014.松嫩高平原黑土区耕地利用系统安全影响因子作用机理研究--以黑龙江省巴彦县为例.自然资源学报,29(1):13-26.[Song Ge,Wang Yue and Lei Guoping.2014.Land Use System Security of Black Soil Region in Songnen High Plain:A Case Study of Bayan County in Heilongjiang Province.Journal of Natural Resources,29(1):13-26.]
Song X,Huang Y,Wu Z F and Ouyang Z.2015.Does Cultivated Land Function Transition Occur in China?.Journal of Geographical Sciences,25(7):817-835.
宋小青,欧阳竹.2012a.耕地多功能内涵及其对耕地保护的启示.地理科学进展,31(7):859-868.[Song Xiaoqing and Ouyang Zhu.2012a.Connotation of Multifunctional Cultivated Land and Its Implications for Cultivated Land Protection.Progress in Geography,31(7):859-868.]
宋小青,欧阳竹.2012b.1999-2007年中国粮食安全的关键影响因素.地理学报,67(6):793-803.[Song Xiaoqing and Ouyang Zhu.2012b.Key Influencing Factors of Food Security Guarantee in China during1999-2007.Acta Geographica Sinica,67(6):793-803.]
Tscharntke T,Clough Y,Wanger T C,Jackson L,Motzke I,Perfecto I,Vandermeer J and Whitbread A.2012.Global Food Security,Biodiversity Conservation and the Future of Agricultural Intensification.Biological Conservation,151(1):53-59.
Verhagen W,Van Zanden E H,Strauch M,Van Teeffelen A J A and Verburg P H.2018.Optimizing the Allocation of Agri-environment Measures to Navigate the Trade-offs Between Ecosystem Services,Biodiversity and Agricultural Production.Environmental Science&Policy,84:186-196.
王成,彭清,唐宁,李颢颖.2018.2005-2015年耕地多功能时空演变及其协同与权衡研究--以重庆市沙坪坝区为例.地理科学,38(4):590-599.[Wan g Cheng,Peng Qing,Tang Ning and Li Haoying.2018.Spatio-temporal Evolution and the Synergy and Trade-off Relationship of Cultivated Land Multi-function in 2005-2015:A Case of Shapingba District,Chongqing City.Scientia Geographica Sinica,38(4):590-599.]
王芳,冯艳芬,卓莉,周涛.2013.基于改进遗传算法投影寻踪的大城市郊区耕地安全综合评价.热带地理,33(4):373-380.[Wang Fang,Feng Yanfen,Zhuo Li and Zhou Tao.2013.Comprehensive Evaluation of Arable Land Security in Metropolitan Suburbs Using Projection Pursuit Model Based on Improved Genetic Algorithms.Tropical Geography,33(4):373-380.]
王枫,董玉祥.2015a.基于灰色关联投影法的土地利用多功能动态评价及障碍因子诊断--以广州市为例.自然资源学报,30(10):1698-1713.[Wang Feng and Dong Yuxiang.2015a.Dynamic Evaluation of Land Use Functions Based on Grey Relation Projection Method and Diagnosis of Its Obstacle Indicator:A Case Study of Guangzhou City.Journal of Natural Resources,30(10):1698-1713.]
王枫,董玉祥.2015b.广州市土地利用多功能的空间差异及影响因素分析.资源科学,37(11):2179-2192.[Wang Feng and Dong Yuxiang.2015b.Spatial Differences and Influencing Factors of Land Use Function in Guangzhou.Resources Science,37(11):2179-2192.]
王劲峰,徐成东.2017.地理探测器:原理与展望.地理学报,72(1):116-134.[Wang Jinfeng and Xu Chengdong.2017.Geodetector:Principle and Prospective.Acta Geographica Sinica,72(1):116-134.]
吴大放,刘艳艳,董玉祥,刘海珍,倪少春.2009.珠海市耕地变化时空特征及其驱动力分析.热带地理,29(5):472-476.[Wu Dafang,Liu Yanyan,Dong Yuxiang,Liu Haizhen and Ni Shaochun.2009.Analysis on the Spatial-temporal Changes of Cultivated Land and Their Driving Forces in Zhuhai.Tropical Geography,29(5):472-476.]
谢高地,鲁春霞,冷允法,郑度,李双成.2003.青藏高原生态资产的价值评估.自然资源学报,18(2):189-196.[Xie Gaodi,Lu Chunxia,Leng Yunfa,Zheng Du and Li Shuangcheng.2003.Ecological Assets Valuation of the Tibetan Plateau.Journal of Natural Resources,18(2):189-196.]
徐珊,宋戈,李丹,王扬.2012.东北粮食主产区耕地资源时空变化及其对粮食生产能力的影响.农业工程学报,28(21):1-9.[Xu Shan,Song Ge,Li Dan and Wang Yang.2012.Spatial-temporal Variation of Cultiva ted Land and Its Effects on Grain Production Capacity of Northeast Grain Main Production Area.Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering,28(21):1-9.]
叶晓琪,宋小青,谭子安,吴志峰.2017.大都市镇域耕地功能格局及其成因--以广州市为例.热带地理,37(6):862-873.[Ye Xiaoqi,Song Xiaoqing,Tan Zi’an and Wu Zhifeng.2017.Functional Pattern of Cultiva ted Land and Its Cause in Metropolitan at the Sub-district Scale:A Case Study of Guangzhou.Tropical Geography,37(6):862-873.]
叶云,赵小娟,胡月明.2018.基于GA-BP神经网络的珠三角耕地质量评价.生态环境学报,27(5):964-973.[Ye Yun,Zhao Xiaojuan and Hu Yueming.2018.Evaluation of Cultivated Land Quality in Pearl River Delta Based on GA-BP Neural Network.Ecology and Environmental Sciences,27(5):964-973.]
张冰洁,宋戈.2012.松嫩高平原黑土区典型地域耕地生态安全评价及驱动力分析--以黑龙江省绥化市为例.水土保持研究,19(3):215-220.[Zhang Bingjie and Song Ge.2012.Evaluation on Cultivated Land Ecologica l Security and Analysis on the Driving Forces of the Typical Mollisols Area in Songen High Plain:A Case Study of City in Heilongjian g Province.Research of Soil and Water Conservation,19(3):215-220.]
张浩,冯淑怡,曲福田.2017.耕地保护、建设用地集约利用与城镇化耦合协调性研究.自然资源学报,32(6):1002-1015.[Zhang Hao,Feng Shuyi and Qu Futian.2017.Research on Coupling Coordination Among Cultivated Land Protection,Construction Land Intensive Use and Urbanization.Journal of Natu ral Resources,32(6):1002-1015.]
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