基于MOA模型的社区居民参与反恐程度及影响因素研究——以新疆乌鲁木齐市为例
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摘要
基于对乌鲁木齐市典型社区的实地调研,借用公民参与阶梯理论和三维空间分析法,分析社区反恐居民参与度情况,建立MOA模型,对影响居民参与社区反恐的影响因素作出假设,并运用结构方程模型对假设进行分析与验证。结果表明,参与动机、参与能力与参与机会均对社区反恐居民参与度具有显著的正向影响,其中参与动机在社区反恐居民参与的MOA模型中处于重要地位,社区反恐居民参与机会和能力还间接通过参与动机来对居民的参与度产生影响,社区反恐居民参与的动机也间接影响居民参与度。可以通过宣传培训、物质支持提升社区居民的参与能力;落实奖励政策和保障机制引导居民主动参与,提高积极性;拓宽社区居民参与社区反恐的渠道,创造丰富的参与机会等提高社区反恐居民的参与度,以群众为基础力量,打好反恐维稳攻坚战。
Based on the field investigation of the typical community in Urumqi, the citizen participation ladder theory and three-dimensional spatial analysis method are used to analyze the participation of anti-terrorism residents in the community.The MOA model was established to make assumptions about the influencing factors affecting residents' participation in community anti-terrorism, and the structural equation model was used to analyze and verify the hypothesis. The results show that participation motivation, participation ability and participation opportunities have a significant positive impact on community anti-terrorism residents' participation. The participation motivation is in an important position in the MOA model of community anti-terrorism residents' participation. The participation opportunities and abilities of community anti-terrorism residents also indirectly affect the participation of residents through participation motivation. The motivation of community anti-terrorism residents also indirectly affects residents' participation. It is possible to enhance the participation of community residents through publicity training and material support; implement incentive policies and guarantee mechanisms to guide residents to participate actively and improve enthusiasm; broaden the channels for community residents to participate in community counter-terrorism, create rich opportunities for participation, and increase the participation of community anti-terrorism residents. Based on the masses, we will fight against terrorism and maintain stability.
Based on the field investigation of the typical community in Urumqi, the citizen participation ladder theory and three-dimensional spatial analysis method are used to analyze the participation of anti-terrorism residents in the community.The MOA model was established to make assumptions about the influencing factors affecting residents' participation in community anti-terrorism, and the structural equation model was used to analyze and verify the hypothesis. The results show that participation motivation, participation ability and participation opportunities have a significant positive impact on community anti-terrorism residents' participation. The participation motivation is in an important position in the MOA model of community anti-terrorism residents' participation. The participation opportunities and abilities of community anti-terrorism residents also indirectly affect the participation of residents through participation motivation. The motivation of community anti-terrorism residents also indirectly affects residents' participation. It is possible to enhance the participation of community residents through publicity training and material support; implement incentive policies and guarantee mechanisms to guide residents to participate actively and improve enthusiasm; broaden the channels for community residents to participate in community counter-terrorism, create rich opportunities for participation, and increase the participation of community anti-terrorism residents. Based on the masses, we will fight against terrorism and maintain stability.
引文
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[24]曾庆华,陈成鑫,刘蔚.基于AHP-SWOT方法的新疆反恐维稳战略研究[J].中国人民公安大学学报(自然科学版),2018(2):39-44.
[2]卢文刚,蔡裕岚.新加坡的全民反恐及启示[J].中国应急管理,2015(5):43-47.
[3]王大伟.外国警察科学[M].北京:中国人民公安大学出版社,2012.
[4]李亮.论社区警务中的警察权[J].中国人民公安大学学报(社会科学版),2015(1):93-99.
[5] SCOTT M S,GOLDSTEIN H. Shifting and sharing responsibility for public safety problems[M].New York:Mcgraw-hill publish company,2005.121.
[6] GAO J B,FANG P,LIU F Y. Empirical scaling law connecting persistence and severity of global terrorism[J].Physica A:Statistical mechanics and its applications,2017,482:74-86.
[7] GEOFF D. Protecting passenger transport systems from the threat of terrorism[J].Public transport international,2006(1):33.
[8]郭永良,蒋东龙.论中国反恐斗争的战略转型[J].中国人民公安大学学报(社会科学版),2016(3):2-9.
[9]曾粤兴,周兆进.反恐模式:大众参与模式之建构——基于传统反恐模式的反思[J].宁夏社会科学,2015(5):44-49.
[10]邓国良.公共安全及风险应对[M].北京:法律出版社,2014.
[11]王林.美国社区反恐的理论、经验及启示[J].桂海论丛,2015(3):120-124.
[12]李捷,李强.反恐与公众参与[J].兰州大学学报(社会科学版),2008(2):1-3.
[13]夏黑讯.社区商户“十户联保”之基层反恐维稳与民族团结创新机制实践考察[J].理论月刊,2016(4):133-138.
[14] STYLIDIS D,BIRAN A,SIT J,et al. Residents’support for tourism development:The role ofresidents’place image and perceived tourism impacts[J].Tourism management,2014,45:260-274.
[15]王兆峰,向秋霜.基于MOA模型的武陵山区社区居民参与旅游扶贫研究[J].中央民族大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2017,44(6):94-102.
[16]李海金.城市社区治理中的公民参与——以武汉市社区为例[J].中州学刊,2009(4):104-108.
[17]杨佳璇.城市社区治理中居民参与问题研究[D].郑州:郑州大学,2017.
[18]邵晓枫,罗志强.我国社区教育中居民参与的几个主要问题[J].现代远程教育研究,2017(2):67-76.
[19]陈明,凌云翔,江成俊,等.反恐情报与决策、行动一体化联动的内在机理及其优化[J].情报杂志,2017,36(3):1-5.
[20]付兵.培育社区居民参与意识的意义及对策[J].广西社会主义学院学报,2012,23(5):96-99,105.
[21]修新田,陈秋华,赖启福.社区居民参与森林旅游发展的影响因素分析[J].福建论坛(人文社会科学版),2015(5):155-159.
[22]李辉.论民众反恐参与意向的驱动因素及其微观机理——基于计划行为理论和群体认同理论的实证研究[J].中国人民公安大学学报(社会科学版),2017(1):17-27.
[23]滕五晓,陈磊,万蓓蕾.社区安全治理模式研究——基于上海社区风险评估实践的探索[J].马克思主义与现实,2014(6):70-75.
[24]曾庆华,陈成鑫,刘蔚.基于AHP-SWOT方法的新疆反恐维稳战略研究[J].中国人民公安大学学报(自然科学版),2018(2):39-44.