基于面板联立方程模型的我国公共支出对碳排放的影响
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摘要
随着人们节能减排和生态环境保护意识的不断提高,我国对碳排放问题日益重视,逐年加大政府公共支出对碳排放管理的监督力度。文章选择2011—2018年我国30个省份的省际面板数据,在分析公共支出与碳排放的相互影响下,基于碳排放与经济增长的联立方程模型,将公共支出作为变量纳入模型中,通过构建面板联立方程模型对公共支出对碳排放的影响进行实证分析。实证分析结果显示,公共支出不仅仅对碳排放具有负向直接影响,能够实现减排目标,还能通过经济发展来发挥间接影响作用,并进一步总结得出各变量对碳排放的影响。根据研究结果对各地公共支出政策制定提供相关建议,制定具有差异化的政策,从而实现生态与经济的和谐发展。
With the increasing awareness of energy saving and environmental protection, China has also paid more attention to the treatment of carbon emissions, and increased government public expenditure to supervise carbon emissions. From the inter provincial panel data of 30 provinces of China from 2011 to 2018, the joint equation model based on carbon emission and economic growth was analyzed under the mutual influence of public expenditure and carbon emissions, and the public expenditure was incorporated into the model, and the joint Fang Chengmo type needed for this paper was constructed to analyze the carbon emissions by public expenditure influence. Through the empirical analysis, the public expenditure not only has a negative impact on carbon emissions, but also can achieve the target of emission reduction, and can also play an indirect impact through economic development; through further study, the effects of the variables on carbon emissions are obtained. According to the research results, we will provide relevant suggestions for the formulation of public expenditure policies and formulate differentiated policies so as to achieve the harmonious development of ecological economy.
With the increasing awareness of energy saving and environmental protection, China has also paid more attention to the treatment of carbon emissions, and increased government public expenditure to supervise carbon emissions. From the inter provincial panel data of 30 provinces of China from 2011 to 2018, the joint equation model based on carbon emission and economic growth was analyzed under the mutual influence of public expenditure and carbon emissions, and the public expenditure was incorporated into the model, and the joint Fang Chengmo type needed for this paper was constructed to analyze the carbon emissions by public expenditure influence. Through the empirical analysis, the public expenditure not only has a negative impact on carbon emissions, but also can achieve the target of emission reduction, and can also play an indirect impact through economic development; through further study, the effects of the variables on carbon emissions are obtained. According to the research results, we will provide relevant suggestions for the formulation of public expenditure policies and formulate differentiated policies so as to achieve the harmonious development of ecological economy.
引文
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[2]Li S H.Study on the impact of local public expenditure on housing price-An empirical analysis based on provincial panel data[J].Modern Economy,2018,9(2):247-262.
[3]Hao Y,Liu S,Lu Z N,et al.The impact of environmental pollution on public health expenditure:Dynamic panel analysis based on Chinese provincial data[J].Environmental Science&Pollution Research,2018,25(19):1-13.
[4]陈碧琼,张梁梁.动态空间视角下金融发展对碳排放的影响力分析[J].软科学,2014(7):140-144.
[5]叶震.中国居民消费对二氧化碳排放的影响--基于碳排放投入产出模型的分析[J].统计与信息论坛,2016(11):39-43.
[6]彭希哲,朱勤.我国人口态势与消费模式对碳排放的影响分析[J].人口研究,2015(1):48-58.
[7]徐如浓,吴玉鸣.长三角城市群碳排放、能源消费与经济增长的互动关系--基于面板联立方程模型的实证[J].生态经济,2016(12):32-38.
[8]王艺明,张佩,邓可斌.财政支出结构与环境污染:碳排放的视角[J].财政研究,2014(9):27-30.
[9]邓慧慧,虞义华,李洪坚.中国地区经济增长对碳排放强度的影响--基于空间面板模型的分析[J].浙江社会科学,2017(8):40-50.
[10]许恒周,殷红春,郭玉燕.我国农地非农化对碳排放的影响及区域差异--基于省际面板数据的实证分析[J].财经科学,2013(3):75-82.
[11]王星.中国城镇化对碳排放的影响--基于省级面板数据的分析[J].城市问题,2016(7):23-29.
[12]马大来,武文丽,董子铭.中国工业碳排放绩效及其影响因素--基于空间面板数据模型的实证研究[J].中国经济问题,2017(1):121-135.
[13]吴振信,谢晓晶,王书平.经济增长、产业结构对碳排放的影响分析--基于中国的省际面板数据[J].中国管理科学,2015(3):161-166.
[14]李跃辉,蒋盼.中国碳排放量影响因素研究--基于省级面板数据的分析[J].经济问题,2014(4):49-52.
[15]潘雄锋,杨越.基于联立方程模型的对外贸易与碳排放互动关系研究[J].运筹与管理,2013(1):132-137.