基于广义DEA的我国基本养老保险制度绩效评价
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摘要
从养老保险制度经济性、效率性、有效性角度建立养老保险制度绩效评价指标体系,并季利用该指标体系结合面板数据的广义DEA方法构建了基本养老保险制度绩效评价模型.最后,以城镇职工基本养老保险为例对2011-2015年我国31个省份基本养老保险制度绩效状况进行了实证分析.结果发现:我国各省份城镇职工基本养老保险制度绩效整体水平呈下降趋势,且绩效处于偏低水平;各省份之间制度发展水平存在明显的非均衡性;绩效水平的区域特征较明显,基本呈现了东高中低的格局,我国各省份绩效水平与其经济发展水平不协调.
On the basis of the existing research results, this paper designs the performance evaluation index system of the pension insurance system from the perspective of the economy,efficiency and effectiveness of the pension insurance system, and uses the index system to construct the performance evaluation model of the basic pension insurance system and the generalized DEA method of panel data. Finally, we have assessed the urban employee basic pension insurance system in 31 provinces of China in the past 2011-2015 years. The results showed that: the overall level of the basic pension insurance system performance of urban employee in provinces is declining, and the performance is on the low level; the system development level between the provinces has obvious disequilibrium; the regional characteristics of the performance level are more obvious, which basically shows the pattern of the Eastern high the middle low; the performance level of provinces in china is not in harmony with its economic development level.
On the basis of the existing research results, this paper designs the performance evaluation index system of the pension insurance system from the perspective of the economy,efficiency and effectiveness of the pension insurance system, and uses the index system to construct the performance evaluation model of the basic pension insurance system and the generalized DEA method of panel data. Finally, we have assessed the urban employee basic pension insurance system in 31 provinces of China in the past 2011-2015 years. The results showed that: the overall level of the basic pension insurance system performance of urban employee in provinces is declining, and the performance is on the low level; the system development level between the provinces has obvious disequilibrium; the regional characteristics of the performance level are more obvious, which basically shows the pattern of the Eastern high the middle low; the performance level of provinces in china is not in harmony with its economic development level.
引文
[1]尚进云,薛兴利.新型农村社会养老保险运行评价研究[J].人口与经济,2012(1):91-96.
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[5]黎民,王翠琴.当前我国基本养老保险制度的有效性评价—基于层次分析法的一项研究[J].贵州社会科学,2008(7):64-70.
[6]许春淑.基于AHP的城镇基本养老保险支出绩效评价—以天津为例的实证研究[J].税务与经济,2012(6):41-47.
[7]于宁.基本养老保险基金支出绩效:评价标准设计研究[J].上海经济研究,2017(7):69-80.
[8]于宁.中国基本养老保险基金支出绩效评价:2003-2015—实证研究与对策模拟[J].社会科学,2017(2):80-92.
[9]王晓军,钱珍.中国财政社会保障支出效率分析[J].福建论坛·人文社会科学版,2009(5):4-7.
[10]邓沛琦.我国城镇企业职工基本养老保险制度效率评价[J].税务研究,2015(7):108-114.
[11]魏权龄.数据包络分析[M].北京:科学出版社,2004.
[12]马占新.数据包络分析及其应用案例[M].北京:科学出版社,2013.
[13]张立光,邱长溶.社会保障综合评价指标体系和评价方法研究[J].管理评论,2003(2):13-16, 58.
[14]曹信邦.政府社会保障绩效评估指标体系研究[J].中国行政管理,2006(7):30-34.
[15]彭锻炼.地方政府社会保险服务绩效评价指标体系构建与绩效测度[J].中央财经大学学报,2015(1):19-26.
[16]王晓军,任文东.我国养老保险的财务可持续性研究[J].保险研究,2013(4):118-127.
[17]朱乔.数据包络分析—让数据自己说话[M].北京:科学出版社,2016.
[18] Wade D. Cool, Joe Zhu.数据包络分析—平衡标杆法[M].北京:科学出版社,2017.
[2]路锦非.从国际养老金制度评价体系看中国养老金制度的问题及对策[J].华东经济管理,2012, 26(3):42-45.
[3]张怡恬.对中国社会养老保险制度效率的分析与评价[J].理论学刊,2013(7):60-63.
[4]许春淑.我国养老保险制度绩效评价一基于因子分析法的实证研究[J].经济问题,2012(6):43-46.
[5]黎民,王翠琴.当前我国基本养老保险制度的有效性评价—基于层次分析法的一项研究[J].贵州社会科学,2008(7):64-70.
[6]许春淑.基于AHP的城镇基本养老保险支出绩效评价—以天津为例的实证研究[J].税务与经济,2012(6):41-47.
[7]于宁.基本养老保险基金支出绩效:评价标准设计研究[J].上海经济研究,2017(7):69-80.
[8]于宁.中国基本养老保险基金支出绩效评价:2003-2015—实证研究与对策模拟[J].社会科学,2017(2):80-92.
[9]王晓军,钱珍.中国财政社会保障支出效率分析[J].福建论坛·人文社会科学版,2009(5):4-7.
[10]邓沛琦.我国城镇企业职工基本养老保险制度效率评价[J].税务研究,2015(7):108-114.
[11]魏权龄.数据包络分析[M].北京:科学出版社,2004.
[12]马占新.数据包络分析及其应用案例[M].北京:科学出版社,2013.
[13]张立光,邱长溶.社会保障综合评价指标体系和评价方法研究[J].管理评论,2003(2):13-16, 58.
[14]曹信邦.政府社会保障绩效评估指标体系研究[J].中国行政管理,2006(7):30-34.
[15]彭锻炼.地方政府社会保险服务绩效评价指标体系构建与绩效测度[J].中央财经大学学报,2015(1):19-26.
[16]王晓军,任文东.我国养老保险的财务可持续性研究[J].保险研究,2013(4):118-127.
[17]朱乔.数据包络分析—让数据自己说话[M].北京:科学出版社,2016.
[18] Wade D. Cool, Joe Zhu.数据包络分析—平衡标杆法[M].北京:科学出版社,2017.