雾霾空间溢出背景下产业转型的环境效应研究——基于京津冀及周边31个城市的实证分析

详细信息    查看全文 | 推荐本文 |

英文篇名：Study on the Environmental Effects of Industrial Transformation under the Haze Spillover:Empirical Analysis Based on Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei and 31 Surrounding Cities 作者：王树强 ; 孟娣 英文作者：WANG Shuqiang;MENG Di;School of Economics and Management,Hebei University of Technology; 关键词：雾霾污染 ; 产业转型 ; 空间计量经济 英文关键词：smog pollution;;industrial transformation;;spatial econometrics 中文刊名：STJJ 英文刊名：Ecological Economy 机构：河北工业大学经济管理学院; 出版日期：2019-01-01 出版单位：生态经济 年：2019 期：v.35;No.337 基金：天津科技计划项目重点招标项目“科技支撑天津环境与生态改善战略研究”(17ZLZDZF00130);; 河北省高等学校人文社会科学研究项目“京津冀大气污染物排放权初始分配机制及我省对策研究”(SD171046);; 河北省教育厅人文社会科学研究重大课题攻关项目“创新驱动战略下河北省传统产业转型升级路径研究”(ZD201717) 语种：中文; 页：STJJ201901027 页数：6 CN：01 ISSN：53-1193/F 分类号：148-153

摘要

文章以京津冀及周边31个地级市为研究对象,运用空间计量经济学模型研究了产业转型与生态环境质量的关系。全局空间相关性检验发现该区域的空气污染存在明显的空间正相关性,局部空间相关性检验发现该区域的中南部城市为环境污染集聚区,两者验证了产业转型的环境效应分析纳入空间溢出效应的必要性。据此,通过产业结构合理化和高级化指标量化产业转型水平,进而应用空间计量模型综合测度了产业转型的环境效应。研究发现:该区域城市处于环境库兹涅茨曲线顶点的左侧,环境与经济发展的关系亟待协调;产业转型具有明显的环境改善正效应,但是产业结构高级化对环境的改善作用明显高于产业结构合理化,加快推进该区域产业结构的高级化是协调环境和经济关系的政策重点。
        This paper,taking Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei and its surrounding prefecture-level cities as the research object,uses Spatial Econometrics Model to study the relationship between industrial transformation and ecological environment quality.Spatial correlation test found that there is a clear positive spatial correlation of air pollution in this area.Local spatial correlation test shows that the concentration of environmental pollution is located in central and southern cities of the region,which verifies the necessity of incorporating the spillover effects into the analysis of the environmental effects of industrial restructuring.Based on this,we quantified the level of industrial transformation through the rationalization of industrial structure and advanced indicators,and then applied the spatial econometric model to comprehensively measure the environmental effects of industrial transformation.The results show that the cities in the region are on the left side of the summit of the environmental Kuznets Curve,and the relationship between environment and economic development needs to be coordinated.The industrial transformation has obvious positive effect on environment improvement.However,the environmental positive effect of the advanced industrial structure is obviously higher than that of the industrial structure rationalization.Accelerating the advancement of industrial structure in the region is the key policy of coordinating the relationship between environment and policy.

引文

[1]Llop M.Economic Structure and Pollution Intensity within the Environmental Input-output Framework[J].Energy Policy,2007,(35):3410-3417.
    [2]Levinson A.Technology,international trade and pollution from US manufacturing[J].American Economic Review,2007,99(5):2177-2192.
    [3]Zhou X Y,Zhang J,Li J P.Industrial structural transformation and carbon dioxide emissions in China[J].Enerpy Policy,2013,57(3):43-51.
    [4]Al-Ayouty I,Hassaballa H,Rizk R.Clean manufacturing industries and environmental quality:The case of Egypt[J].Environmental Development,2017,21:19-25.
    [5]王丽娟,陈兴鹏.产业结构对城市生态环境影响的实证研究[J].甘肃省经济管理干部学院学报,2003(4):22-24.
    [6]王瑞鹏,王朋岗.城市化、产业结构调整与环境污染的动态关系--基于VAR模型的实证分析[J].工业技术经济,2013(1):26-31.
    [7]李姝.城市化、产业结构调整与环境污染[J].经济问题研究,2011(6):38-43.
    [8]翁智雄,马忠玉,葛察忠,等.多因素驱动下的中国城市环境效应分析--基于285个地级及以上城市面板数据[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2017(3):63-73.
    [9]Zhang Q,Streets D G,Carmichael G R,et al.Asian emission in 2006 for the NASA INTEX-B mission[J].Atmospheric Chemistry&Physics Discussions,2009,9(1):5131-5153.
    [10]干春晖,郑若谷,余典范.中国产业结构变迁对经济增长和波动的影响[J].经济研究,2011(5):4-16.
    [11]付凌晖.我国产业高级化与经济增长关系的实证研究[J].统计研究,2010(8):79-81.
    [12]Anselin L,Getis A.Spatial statistical analysis and geographic information systems[J].Annals of Regional Science,1992,26(1):19-33.
    [13]Chan C K,Yao X.Air pollution in mega cities in China[J].Atmospheric Environment,2008,42(1):1352-2310.
    [14]马丽梅,张晓.中国雾霾污染的空间效应及经济能源结构影响[J].中国工业经济,2014(4):19-31.
    [15]Grossman G M,Krueger A B.Economic growth and the environment[J].Quarterly Journal of Economics,1995,110(2):353-377.
    (1)京津冀及周边31个城市包括北京市,天津市,河北省的石家庄、唐山、秦皇岛、邯郸、邢台、保定、张家口、承德、沧州、廊坊、衡水,山西省的太原、大同、阳泉、晋中、长治、晋城、朔州、忻州,山东省的济南、德州、聊城,河南省的郑州、开封、安阳、焦作、濮阳、鹤壁、新乡。