近46年毛乌素沙地和科尔沁沙地潜在蒸散量的变化特征及影响因子分析
|
摘要
近46a来在全球气候变暖的大背景下,毛乌素沙地乌审旗ET0处于显著下降的趋势,降水量微弱上升,地区暖湿化趋势明显;科尔沁沙地奈曼旗ET0呈逐渐上升趋势,降水量微弱减少,有弱的暖干化趋势。毛乌素沙地乌审旗ET0与风速呈极显著正相关,与温度呈负相关,且仅与最低温度达到显著水平;科尔沁沙地奈曼旗ET0与温度变化趋势一致,ET0与最高温度呈极显著正相关,与相对湿度呈极显著负相关。贡献率分析结果表明,对于毛乌素沙地乌审旗ET0,风速的贡献率为58.53%,温度的整体贡献率为39.98%;而对于科尔沁沙地奈曼旗ET0,风速的贡献率为38.81%,温度的整体贡献率为56.99%。影响内蒙古东西部两大沙地ET0的主要气象因子差异明显,西部区毛乌素沙地主要受风速的影响,而东部区科尔沁沙地则主要受温度的影响。
With the context of the global climate warming,the potential evapotranspiration(ET0)in the sandy land of Wushen County in the Mu Us Desert in recent 46 years was in a significant downward trend.The amount of precipitation rose slightly,the trend of warm-humid in the area was obvious.The ET0 in Naiman County of the Khorchin sandy land increased gradually,the rainfall decreased slightly.There was a weak tendency of warming and drying.The ET0 in Wushen County was positively correlated with the wind speed,the temperature was negatively correlated with the ET0,and the ET0 only had a significant negative correlation with the lowest temperature.The ET0 in Naiman County was consistent with the trend of temperature,the ET0 was positively correlated with maximum temperature,and the ET0 was significantly negatively correlated with relative humidity.The contribution rate of wind speed was 58.53% to the ET0 in Wushen County,and the overall contribution rate of temperature was 39.98%.The contribution rate of wind speed was 38.81%to the ET0 in Naiman County,and the overall contribution rate of temperature was56.99%.The main meteorological factors affecting two sandy areas in east and west Inner Mongolia were significantly different,the sandy land in the western area was mainly affected by wind speed,and the eastern area was mainly affected by temperature.
With the context of the global climate warming,the potential evapotranspiration(ET0)in the sandy land of Wushen County in the Mu Us Desert in recent 46 years was in a significant downward trend.The amount of precipitation rose slightly,the trend of warm-humid in the area was obvious.The ET0 in Naiman County of the Khorchin sandy land increased gradually,the rainfall decreased slightly.There was a weak tendency of warming and drying.The ET0 in Wushen County was positively correlated with the wind speed,the temperature was negatively correlated with the ET0,and the ET0 only had a significant negative correlation with the lowest temperature.The ET0 in Naiman County was consistent with the trend of temperature,the ET0 was positively correlated with maximum temperature,and the ET0 was significantly negatively correlated with relative humidity.The contribution rate of wind speed was 58.53% to the ET0 in Wushen County,and the overall contribution rate of temperature was 39.98%.The contribution rate of wind speed was 38.81%to the ET0 in Naiman County,and the overall contribution rate of temperature was56.99%.The main meteorological factors affecting two sandy areas in east and west Inner Mongolia were significantly different,the sandy land in the western area was mainly affected by wind speed,and the eastern area was mainly affected by temperature.
引文
[1]张瑞钢,莫兴国,林忠辉.滹沱河上游山区近50年蒸散变化及主要影响因子分析[J].地理科学,2012,32(5):628-634.ZHANG R G,MO X G,LIN Z H.The trend and the principal influence factors of evapotranspiration in Hutuo river basin during last 50years[J].Scientia Geographica Sinica,2012,32(5):628-634.(in Chinese)
[2]白建军,白江涛,王磊.2000-2010年陕北地区植被NDVI时空变化及其与区域气候的关系[J].地理科学,2014,34(7):882-888.BAI J J,BAI J T,WANG L.Spatio-temporal change of vegetation NDVI and its relations with regional climate in northern Shaanxi Province in 2000-2010[J].Scientia Geographica Sinica,2014,34(7):882-888.(in Chinese)
[3]ALLEN R G,PEREIRA L S,RAES D,et al.Crop evapotranspiration-guidelines for computing crop water requirementsFAO irrigation and drainage paper 56[J].FAO,Rome,1998,300(9):D05109.
[4]尹云鹤,吴绍洪,戴尔阜.1971-2008年我国潜在蒸散时空演变的归因[J].科学通报,2010,55(22):2226-2234.
[5]GOLUBEV V S,LAWRIMORE J H,GROISMAN P Y,et al.Evaporation changes over the contiguous United States and the former USSR:a reassessment[J].Geophysical Research Letters,2001,28(13):2665-2668.
[6]LINACRE E T.Evaporation trends[J].Theoretical and applied climatology,2004,79(1):11-21.
[7]ASANUMA J,KAMIMERA H.Long-term trend of pan evaporation measurements in Japan and its relevance to the variability of the hydrological cycle[C]//Symposium on water resource and its variability in Asia in the 21st century,March.2004:1-2.
[8]韦振锋,陈思源,黄毅.1981-2010年陕西潜在蒸散量时空特征及其对气候因子的响应[J].地理科学,2015,35(8):1033-1041.WEI Z F,CHEN S Y,HUANG Y.Spatial and temporal characteristics of potential evaporation and climatic factors on the impact in Shaanxi Province in 1981-2010[J].Scientia Geographica Sinica,2015,35(8):1033-1041.(in Chinese)
[9]裴超重,钱开铸,吕京京,等.长江源区蒸散量变化规律及其影响因素[J].现代地质,2010,24(2):362-368.PEI C Z,QIAN K Z,LV J J,et al.The variation of evapotraspiration and the impacts on it in the source region of the Yangtze River[J].Geoscience,2010,24(2):362-368.(in Chinese)
[10]ZHANG X,REN Y,YIN Z Y,et al.Spatial and temporal variation patterns of reference evapotranspiration across the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau during 1971-2004[J].Journal of Geophysical Research:Atmospheres,2009,114(D15).
[11]韩松俊,胡和平,杨大文,等.塔里木河流域山区和绿洲潜在蒸散发的不同变化及影响因素[J].中国科学E辑:技术科学,2009,39(8):1375-1383.
[12]段春锋,缪启龙,曹雯.塔克拉玛干沙漠周边地区潜在蒸散时空演变特征及其主要影响因素[J].中国沙漠,2012,32(6):1723-1730.DUAN C F,MIAO Q L,CAO W.Spatio-temporal variations of potential evapotranspiration around Taklimakan Desert and the main influencing factors[J].Journal of Desert Research,2012,32(6):1723-1730.(in Chinese)
[13]XU C,GONG L,JIANG T,et al.Analysis of spatial distribution and temporal trend of reference evapotranspiration and pan evaporation in Changjiang(Yangtze River)catchment[J].Journal of Hydrology,2006,327(1):81-93.
[14]THOMAS A.Spatial and temporal characteristics of potential evapotranspiration trends over China[J].International Journal of Climatology,2000,20(4):381-396.
[15]ZHANG Y,LIU C,TANG Y,et al.Trends in pan evaporation and reference and actual evapotranspiration across the Tibetan Plateau[J].Journal of Geophysical Research:Atmospheres,2007,112(D12).
[16]GAO G,CHEN D,REN G,et al.Spatial and temporal variations and controlling factors of potential evapotranspiration in China:1956-2000[J].Journal of Geographical Sciences,2006,16(1):3-12.
[17]XIE X Q,WANG L.Changes of potential evaporation in northern China over the past 50years[J].Journal of Natural Resources,2007,22(5):683-691.
[18]YIN Y H,WU S H,DAI E F.Determining factors in potential evapotranspiration changes over China in the period 1971-2008[J].Chinese Science Bulletin,2010,55(29):3329-3337.
[19]BANDYOPADHYAY A,BHADRA A,RAGHUWANSHI NS,et al.Temporal trends in estimates of reference evapotranspiration over India[J].Journal of Hydrologic Engineering,2009,14(5):508-515.
[20]LIMJIRAKAN S,LIMSAKUL A.Trends in Thailand pan evaporation from 1970to 2007[J].Atmospheric Research,2012,108:122-127.
[21]DINPASHOH Y,JHAJHARIA D,FAKHERI-FARD A,et al.Trends in reference crop evapotranspiration over Iran[J].Journal of Hydrology,2011,399(3):422-433.
[22]雷雅凯,郭伟,张军红,等.毛乌素沙地气候与植被变迁[J].西北林学院学报,2012,27(6):242-247.LEI Y K,GUO W,ZHANG J H,et al.Climate and vegetation changes in Mu Us sandy land[J].Journal of Northwest Forestry University,2012,27(6):242-247.(in Chinese)
[23]张增悦,姜准,李甜江,等.毛乌素沙地中国沙棘人工林早衰原因与特点[J].西北林学院学报,2016,31(6):1-6.ZHANG Z Y,JIANG Z,LI T J,et al.Causes and features of Hippophae rhamnoides ssp.sinensis plantation premature aging in Mu Us sandy land[J].Journal of Northwest Forestry University,2016,31(6):1-6.(in Chinese)
[24]李爱敏,韩致文,黄翠华,等.21世纪初科尔沁沙地沙漠化程度变化动态监测[J].中国沙漠,2007,27(4):546-551.LI A M,HAN Z W,HUANG C H,et al.Remote sensing monitoring on dynamic of sandy desertification degree in Horqin sandy land at the beginning of 21st century[J].Journal of Desert Research,2007,27(4):546-551.(in Chinese)
[25]王蕾,哈斯.科尔沁沙地沙漠化研究进展[J].自然灾害学报,2004(4):8-14.WANG L,HA S.Advances in desertification research of Horqin sandy land[J].Journal of Natural Disasters,2004(4):8-14.(in Chinese)
[26]吴绍洪,尹云鹤,郑度,等.近30年中国陆地表层干湿状况研究[J].中国科学D辑:地球科学,2005(3):276-283.
[27]申双和,张方敏,盛琼.1975-2004年中国湿润指数时空变化特征[J].农业工程学报,2009(1):11-15.SHEN S H,ZHANG F M,SHENG Q.Spatio-temporal changes of wetness index in China from 1975to 2004[J].Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering,2009(1):11-15.(in Chinese)
[28]赵哈林,张铜会,崔建垣,等.近40a我国北方农牧交错区气候变化及其与土地沙漠化的关系---以科尔沁沙地为例[J].中国沙漠,2000(Supp.1):2-7.ZHAO H L,ZHANG T H,CUI J Y,et al.Effect of climatic changes on environment and agriculture in the past 40years in interlaced agro-pasturing areas of North China-a case study in Horqin sand land[J].Journal of Desert Research,2000(Supp.1):2-7.(in Chinese)
[29]房世波,许端阳,张新时.毛乌素沙地沙漠化过程及其气候因子驱动分析[J].中国沙漠,2009,29(5):796-801.FANG S B,XU D Y,ZHANG X S.Desertification process and its driving meteorological factors in Mu Us sandland[J].Journal of Desert Research,2009,29(5):796-801.(in Chinese)
[30]郭坚,王涛,韩邦帅,等.近30a来毛乌素沙地及其周边地区沙漠化动态变化过程研究[J].中国沙漠,2008,28(6):1017-1021.GUO J,WANG T,HAN B S,et al.Dynamic process of aeolian desertification land variation in Mu Us sandy land and its surrounding area in recent 30years[J].Journal of Desert Research,2008,28(6):1017-1021.(in Chinese)
[31]吴薇,王熙章,姚发芬.毛乌素沙地沙漠化的遥感监测[J].中国沙漠,1997,17(4):83-88.WU W,WANG X Z,YAO F F.Appling remote sensing data for desertification monitoring in the Mu Us sandy land[J].Journal of Desert Research,1997,17(4):83-88.(in Chinese)
[32]苏世平,张继平,付广军,等.榆林沙区荒漠化成因及防治对策[J].西北林学院学报,2006,21(2):16-19.SU S P,ZHANG J P,FU G J,et al.Cause of desertification and preventive measures against in Yulin[J].Journal of Northwest Forestry University,2006,21(2):16-19.(in Chinese)
[2]白建军,白江涛,王磊.2000-2010年陕北地区植被NDVI时空变化及其与区域气候的关系[J].地理科学,2014,34(7):882-888.BAI J J,BAI J T,WANG L.Spatio-temporal change of vegetation NDVI and its relations with regional climate in northern Shaanxi Province in 2000-2010[J].Scientia Geographica Sinica,2014,34(7):882-888.(in Chinese)
[3]ALLEN R G,PEREIRA L S,RAES D,et al.Crop evapotranspiration-guidelines for computing crop water requirementsFAO irrigation and drainage paper 56[J].FAO,Rome,1998,300(9):D05109.
[4]尹云鹤,吴绍洪,戴尔阜.1971-2008年我国潜在蒸散时空演变的归因[J].科学通报,2010,55(22):2226-2234.
[5]GOLUBEV V S,LAWRIMORE J H,GROISMAN P Y,et al.Evaporation changes over the contiguous United States and the former USSR:a reassessment[J].Geophysical Research Letters,2001,28(13):2665-2668.
[6]LINACRE E T.Evaporation trends[J].Theoretical and applied climatology,2004,79(1):11-21.
[7]ASANUMA J,KAMIMERA H.Long-term trend of pan evaporation measurements in Japan and its relevance to the variability of the hydrological cycle[C]//Symposium on water resource and its variability in Asia in the 21st century,March.2004:1-2.
[8]韦振锋,陈思源,黄毅.1981-2010年陕西潜在蒸散量时空特征及其对气候因子的响应[J].地理科学,2015,35(8):1033-1041.WEI Z F,CHEN S Y,HUANG Y.Spatial and temporal characteristics of potential evaporation and climatic factors on the impact in Shaanxi Province in 1981-2010[J].Scientia Geographica Sinica,2015,35(8):1033-1041.(in Chinese)
[9]裴超重,钱开铸,吕京京,等.长江源区蒸散量变化规律及其影响因素[J].现代地质,2010,24(2):362-368.PEI C Z,QIAN K Z,LV J J,et al.The variation of evapotraspiration and the impacts on it in the source region of the Yangtze River[J].Geoscience,2010,24(2):362-368.(in Chinese)
[10]ZHANG X,REN Y,YIN Z Y,et al.Spatial and temporal variation patterns of reference evapotranspiration across the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau during 1971-2004[J].Journal of Geophysical Research:Atmospheres,2009,114(D15).
[11]韩松俊,胡和平,杨大文,等.塔里木河流域山区和绿洲潜在蒸散发的不同变化及影响因素[J].中国科学E辑:技术科学,2009,39(8):1375-1383.
[12]段春锋,缪启龙,曹雯.塔克拉玛干沙漠周边地区潜在蒸散时空演变特征及其主要影响因素[J].中国沙漠,2012,32(6):1723-1730.DUAN C F,MIAO Q L,CAO W.Spatio-temporal variations of potential evapotranspiration around Taklimakan Desert and the main influencing factors[J].Journal of Desert Research,2012,32(6):1723-1730.(in Chinese)
[13]XU C,GONG L,JIANG T,et al.Analysis of spatial distribution and temporal trend of reference evapotranspiration and pan evaporation in Changjiang(Yangtze River)catchment[J].Journal of Hydrology,2006,327(1):81-93.
[14]THOMAS A.Spatial and temporal characteristics of potential evapotranspiration trends over China[J].International Journal of Climatology,2000,20(4):381-396.
[15]ZHANG Y,LIU C,TANG Y,et al.Trends in pan evaporation and reference and actual evapotranspiration across the Tibetan Plateau[J].Journal of Geophysical Research:Atmospheres,2007,112(D12).
[16]GAO G,CHEN D,REN G,et al.Spatial and temporal variations and controlling factors of potential evapotranspiration in China:1956-2000[J].Journal of Geographical Sciences,2006,16(1):3-12.
[17]XIE X Q,WANG L.Changes of potential evaporation in northern China over the past 50years[J].Journal of Natural Resources,2007,22(5):683-691.
[18]YIN Y H,WU S H,DAI E F.Determining factors in potential evapotranspiration changes over China in the period 1971-2008[J].Chinese Science Bulletin,2010,55(29):3329-3337.
[19]BANDYOPADHYAY A,BHADRA A,RAGHUWANSHI NS,et al.Temporal trends in estimates of reference evapotranspiration over India[J].Journal of Hydrologic Engineering,2009,14(5):508-515.
[20]LIMJIRAKAN S,LIMSAKUL A.Trends in Thailand pan evaporation from 1970to 2007[J].Atmospheric Research,2012,108:122-127.
[21]DINPASHOH Y,JHAJHARIA D,FAKHERI-FARD A,et al.Trends in reference crop evapotranspiration over Iran[J].Journal of Hydrology,2011,399(3):422-433.
[22]雷雅凯,郭伟,张军红,等.毛乌素沙地气候与植被变迁[J].西北林学院学报,2012,27(6):242-247.LEI Y K,GUO W,ZHANG J H,et al.Climate and vegetation changes in Mu Us sandy land[J].Journal of Northwest Forestry University,2012,27(6):242-247.(in Chinese)
[23]张增悦,姜准,李甜江,等.毛乌素沙地中国沙棘人工林早衰原因与特点[J].西北林学院学报,2016,31(6):1-6.ZHANG Z Y,JIANG Z,LI T J,et al.Causes and features of Hippophae rhamnoides ssp.sinensis plantation premature aging in Mu Us sandy land[J].Journal of Northwest Forestry University,2016,31(6):1-6.(in Chinese)
[24]李爱敏,韩致文,黄翠华,等.21世纪初科尔沁沙地沙漠化程度变化动态监测[J].中国沙漠,2007,27(4):546-551.LI A M,HAN Z W,HUANG C H,et al.Remote sensing monitoring on dynamic of sandy desertification degree in Horqin sandy land at the beginning of 21st century[J].Journal of Desert Research,2007,27(4):546-551.(in Chinese)
[25]王蕾,哈斯.科尔沁沙地沙漠化研究进展[J].自然灾害学报,2004(4):8-14.WANG L,HA S.Advances in desertification research of Horqin sandy land[J].Journal of Natural Disasters,2004(4):8-14.(in Chinese)
[26]吴绍洪,尹云鹤,郑度,等.近30年中国陆地表层干湿状况研究[J].中国科学D辑:地球科学,2005(3):276-283.
[27]申双和,张方敏,盛琼.1975-2004年中国湿润指数时空变化特征[J].农业工程学报,2009(1):11-15.SHEN S H,ZHANG F M,SHENG Q.Spatio-temporal changes of wetness index in China from 1975to 2004[J].Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering,2009(1):11-15.(in Chinese)
[28]赵哈林,张铜会,崔建垣,等.近40a我国北方农牧交错区气候变化及其与土地沙漠化的关系---以科尔沁沙地为例[J].中国沙漠,2000(Supp.1):2-7.ZHAO H L,ZHANG T H,CUI J Y,et al.Effect of climatic changes on environment and agriculture in the past 40years in interlaced agro-pasturing areas of North China-a case study in Horqin sand land[J].Journal of Desert Research,2000(Supp.1):2-7.(in Chinese)
[29]房世波,许端阳,张新时.毛乌素沙地沙漠化过程及其气候因子驱动分析[J].中国沙漠,2009,29(5):796-801.FANG S B,XU D Y,ZHANG X S.Desertification process and its driving meteorological factors in Mu Us sandland[J].Journal of Desert Research,2009,29(5):796-801.(in Chinese)
[30]郭坚,王涛,韩邦帅,等.近30a来毛乌素沙地及其周边地区沙漠化动态变化过程研究[J].中国沙漠,2008,28(6):1017-1021.GUO J,WANG T,HAN B S,et al.Dynamic process of aeolian desertification land variation in Mu Us sandy land and its surrounding area in recent 30years[J].Journal of Desert Research,2008,28(6):1017-1021.(in Chinese)
[31]吴薇,王熙章,姚发芬.毛乌素沙地沙漠化的遥感监测[J].中国沙漠,1997,17(4):83-88.WU W,WANG X Z,YAO F F.Appling remote sensing data for desertification monitoring in the Mu Us sandy land[J].Journal of Desert Research,1997,17(4):83-88.(in Chinese)
[32]苏世平,张继平,付广军,等.榆林沙区荒漠化成因及防治对策[J].西北林学院学报,2006,21(2):16-19.SU S P,ZHANG J P,FU G J,et al.Cause of desertification and preventive measures against in Yulin[J].Journal of Northwest Forestry University,2006,21(2):16-19.(in Chinese)