Is tidal forcing critical to trigger large Sumatra earthquakes?

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• 作者：R. K. Tiwari ; Ashutosh Chamoli
• 关键词：Earthquake ; Tidal triggering ; Nonlinear ; Fractal ; Critical phenomenon ; Catastrophe theory ; Sumatra
• 刊名：Natural Hazards
• 出版年：2015
• 出版时间：May 2015
• 年：2015
• 卷：77
• 期：1-supp
• 页码：65-74
• 全文大小：1,355 KB
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  Tanaka S, Ohtake M, Sato H
• 作者单位：R. K. Tiwari (1)
  Ashutosh Chamoli (1)
  
  1. CSIR-National Geophysical Research Institute, Uppal Road, Hyderabad, 500 007, India
  
• 刊物类别：Earth and Environmental Science
• 刊物主题：Earth sciences
  Hydrogeology
  Geophysics and Geodesy
  Geotechnical Engineering
  Civil Engineering
  Environmental Management
  
• 出版者：Springer Netherlands
• ISSN：1573-0840

文摘

Complexity in the earthquake mechanism is manifested in different forms such as fractal distribution, clustering of seismicity, etc., and characterized as critical phenomenon. Occurrences of earthquakes generally represent the state of metastable equilibrium. The Andaman–Sumatra subduction zone is one of the most seismically active corridors (possibly in metastable state) in the world. Recently, the region faced three major earthquakes of magnitude more than 8.5 (M?~?9.1 on December 26, 2004; M?~?8.6 on March 28, 2005; M?~?8.6 on April 11, 2012). Researchers have suggested multiple causes of earthquake generation in this region including the one with possible correlation of tidal stresses with earthquake occurrences. The latter issue, however, has been hotly debated in view of the fact that a small stress generated due to tidal forcing cannot cause such a bigger magnitude earthquake. We study here the impact of tidal forcing on critically generated earthquake phenomena. We examined the statistical behavior of recurrence time interval of earthquakes using the available data for period of about 40?years from 1973 to 2013. We constrain the simple empirical toy model using the concept of catastrophe theory to evaluate the impact of small tidal forcing on the critical state of earthquakes occurrences. In addition to the major role of Helmholtz free energy during the plate motion, our analysis suggests that the stability and critical behavior of the earthquake in Sumatra region could be associated with tidal forcing, however, only for triggering of some of the “Catastrophic–Chaotic-earthquake phenomenon.