Urban adaptation to mega-drought: Anticipatory water modeling, policy, and planning for the urban Southwest
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- 作者：Patricia Gobera ; gober@asu.edu" class="auth_mail" title="E-mail the corresponding author ; David A. Sampsonb ; Ray Quayb ; Dave D. Whiteb ; c ; Winston T.L. Chowd
- 关键词：Decision making under uncertainty (DMUU) ; Mega-drought ; Scenario planning ; Water resources management ; Sustainable urban development ; WaterSim 5
- 刊名：Sustainable Cities and Society
- 出版年：2016
- 出版时间：November 2016
- 年：2016
- 卷：27
- 期：Complete
- 页码：497-504
- 全文大小：1572 K
文摘
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‘Medieval’ drought conditions are simulated for water resources in metro Phoenix.
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Anticipatory models enable long-term policy analysis for climate change.
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Mega-drought results in unsustainable groundwater use between 2000 and 2060.
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Aggressive drought management policies can produce sustainable yield.
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The time to manage droughts is before they occur.