The Moderate-Term Prediction for M_W 9.0 Earthquake in pace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" />place w:st="on">Japanplace> and its Scientific Background

详细信息   

• 责任者：Xu Daoyi (Institute of Geology ; China Earthquake Administration ; Beijing 100029 ; China) ; Deng Zhihui
• 刊名：Journal of Geomechanics
• 出版年：2012
• 卷期：18(1)
• 关键词：大震 ; great earthquakes ; 地震预测 ; earthquake prediction ; 日本 ; Japan
• 页码：p.91-96
• 图表：1 illus., 3 table, 13 refs.
• 分类号：0500
• 出版序号：20130089
• issnNo：ISSN1006-6616
• isbnNo：CN11-3672/P

摘要

<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal>pt" lang=EN-US>In this paper, the authors summarized the moderate-term prediction about the super-great earthquake occurred in the sea off the east coast of pace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" />place w:st="on">Honshu, Japanplace> on March 11, 2011, and discussed the predicting criteria. The predicted areas were defined to south place w:st="on">Japanplace> and other two areas. The predicted earthquake magnitude was 8.0 to 8.3. The moderate-term prediction was based on the tectonic system controlled by Qinhai-Tibet-Yunnan-Burma-Indonesian eta-type tectonic series. The comparison of prediction result to the occurrence of M_W9.0 earthquake in place w:st="on">Japanplace> indicates that the prediction is basically correct.pt" lang=EN-US>pace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" />p>p>