摘要
In recent years,significant progress has been made on the assessment on the unconventional petroleum resources(UPRs),such as tight oil,tight gas,shale gas and coalbed methane.The results show that UPRs are abundant and have great prospect of development and exploration.Significant progress has also been made on the assessment methods of UPRs.In this paper,we reviewed the typical assessment methods for UPRs at home and abroad,and compared the application scope,advantages and disadvantages of five main methods(including EUR analogy method,resources abundance analogy method,volume method,stochastic simulation method and genetic method).Based on the advantages and disadvantages of different methods and present situation of UPR assessment in China,it is concluded that future prospects of UPR assessment in China should include(1)using consistent procedure and method to assess in-place resources and technically recoverable resources,(2)developing modified methods,such as resources abundance analogy on levels,volume method on small portion and EUR analogy on levels,as major assessment method for UPRs,(3)reinforcing the dissection of calibrated units with UPRs to establish analogical database,and(4)considering economic assessment and environmental evaluation of UPRs exploration.